Marlins vs. Dodgers MLB Pick – July 21st

The Miami Marlins and Los Angeles Dodgers will close out their three-game series Sunday with the Dodgers seeking a sweep. The Marlins made things interesting Friday night, losing a close nail biter by a score of 2-1. Nevertheless, the Dodgers had several opportunities to blow that game open and couldn’t do it. Russell Martin and Enrique Hernandez failed the offense routinely Friday night.

Austin Barnes was back behind the plate last night, and he came up with a 2-RBI effort for the Dodgers to give the Dodgers a boost. If there’s a weak link offensively, it’s the catcher where Martin and Barnes have both struggled. Martin is an aging veteran who is just supposed to be insurance. Barnes has to heat up down the stretch and forget about a sloppy first-half.

The offense shook the lackluster night off with an outpouring of runs last night. Matt Beaty led the Dodgers with 3 RBI’s after launching a 3-run home run over the fence. There were seven different Dodgers who found an RBI against the Marlins.

The Dodgers were playing like the Dodgers in that contest. With the win, they moved up to a record of 66-35. No one else is close to them in the National League and should be able to cross the finish line comfortably. The Braves are the next closest competitor with a record of 59-41.

Miami will be handing the ball off to a rookie who has been pitching great in the first six games of his career. The 23-year-old has provided a beacon of hope for the Marlins in the future. We’ll wait and see how the rest of the season unfolds, though. Six starts is not much of a sample size and he has his biggest test in front of him this afternoon at Dodger Stadium. Walker Buehler will get the nod for the Dodgers. Get our free Marlins vs. Dodgers pick.

Miami Marlins vs. L.A. Dodgers Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -295/Marlins +245
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Jordan Yamamoto (4-0, 1.59 ERA)
  • Walker Buehler (8-1, 3.44 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Jordan Yamamoto couldn’t have asked for a better start to his career. Yamamoto boasts an ERA of 1.59 and 0.94 WHIP in 34 innings of work. He is coming off a solid outing against the Padres, a game in which we were able to cash in on. Yamamoto allowed 2 earned runs and 4 hits in 5 innings of work. The bullpen did nothing to help him out, but the offense brought a rare hot strike to the mix. Miami scored 12 runs in a 12-7 game to down the Padres. Yamamoto didn’t have a completely clean game, he got himself into some trouble and had to work himself out of some jams.

He was already up to 99 pitches after 5 innings, so Yamamoto had to work for it. Sunday is going to be his trickiest game of his career thus far. The rotation has changed a bit for the Marlins, but what hasn’t changed is where they stand offensively. Miami are still dead last with an average of 3.64 runs scored per game. Them and the Tigers are the only team in the major leagues who haven’t averaged at least 4 runs a game. The Marlins are hitting .250 with no home runs against Buehler in 24 at-bats.

Buehler got rocked against the Rockies three starts ago at Coors Field. That’s a recurring theme for just about every pitcher who goes there, though. He’s allowed 2 or less runs in seven of his last ten starts and 3 or less in eight of ten. Buehler has been better at home, with a 3.16 ERA, .219 OBA, and 0.84 WHIP. He likely looks like himself in this contest and pitches a strong game for the Dodgers on Sunday afternoon. Yamamoto has been on a roll as a rookie, but I think this is a spot where he gets a lesson against the Dodgers on the road. A 6-3 or 5-2 game in favor of the Dodgers looks accurate here.

The Bet
DODGERS -1.5
Kyle E
Kyle E / author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.