Marlins vs. Dodgers Pick MLB – April 28th

We had to wait an extra day because of weather, but we will finally get to see if Jake Arrieta can start where he left off last week in Cincinnati.  Is it ridiculous to even float the notion of a guy throwing back-to-back no-hitters for only the second time in MLB history?  Probably.  But frankly, everything about Jake Arrieta is ridiculous right now who is still in the midst of the greatest five month stretch any pitcher in the history of Earth has ever enjoyed, so… why not?

Aside from Arrieta attempting to continue to author one of the more unlikely stories in baseball history, there are some other good games littering the NL landscape.  Michael Wacha will try to conquer the toughest non-Colorado pitching park in 2016, Arizona, and in Los Angeles, if you haven’t been paying attention to what rookie Kenta Maeda has been doing, it is time to tune in.  The Asian rookie has been, gasp, the best pitcher in baseball (I know, Arrieta, Sale, etc.) with a 3-0 record and a ridiculous 0.36 ERA.  Can he keep it up at home against the Marlins?  It will be interesting as a guy named Jose Fernandez might have a little to say about things…

Let’s dive in to today’s free pick:

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Miami Marlins +122 at Los Angeles Dodgers -132 (Total: 6.5)

Jose Fernandez (1-2, 4.37 ERA) vs. Kenta Maeda (3-0, 0.36 ERA)

Sorry.  I know Fernandez has Cy Young stuff.  But Maeda has (admittedly, very early) Cy Young results.  If I can get him, home field, the better lineup and a big-name starter who isn’t quite in rhythm yet at the discount price of -132?  Yes, please.

Aside from Maeda, and that is a BIG ‘aside’, the Dodgers are the better team.   LA enters tonight averaging a run more per game at 4.7 to 3.8, allowing over half a run less at 3.8 to 4.4 and with the far hotter lineup.  This game skews Dodgers even without the magic of Maeda who has LA fans drumming up some Fernando-Mania nostalgia.  Or at least Hideo Nomo.  Either way, they have more than made up for losing Greinke in April and will look to keep it going tonight.

Miami is 8-12 on the season and certainly has some punch in the lineup with Stanton and Yelich, but I don’t think it will be enough tonight.  Look for the Dodgers to keep the Marlins off the scoreboard most of the night en route to another win in Chavez Ravine.

Free Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers to WIN -132

Chris Scheeren / Author