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Marlins vs. Dodgers Pick MLB – May 18th

When it’s not going well, games like last night never seem to go your way. We took another MLB loss last night as the Cardinals lost a heartbreaker in thirteen innings to the Boston Red Sox. The Cardinals forged out to a 4-0 lead with Mike Leake outpitching Ric Porcello significantly – just as predicted – but the Cardinals allowed two runs in the seventh and two more in the eighth to tie up the game and send it into an extra-inning marathon. It was a tough loss for the Redbirds, and a frustrating loss as a bettor.

Alas, we will try to get back on the winning plane today. There are a ton of afternoon games today as Thursday’s tend to be getaway day across MLB, so if you have some games you like, make sure to take a look at the starting times. The Reds vs. Cubs, Nats vs. Pirates, Phillies vs. Rangers and Brewers and Padres are all day games this afternoon.

Let’s take a look at today’s featured pick.

Today’s MLB Pick:

Miami Marlins +170 at Los Angeles Dodgers -182 (Total: 8)
Edinson Volquez (0-5, 4.41 ERA) vs. Hyun Jin-Ryu (1-5, 4.99 ERA)

Let’s be honest here. The start of the season has been a disaster for both veteran starting pitchers. They are a combined 1-10 with an ERA approaching five. The difference is, Ryu has a fantastic ballclub behind him playing excellent baseball and Volquez is trapped on the 14-25 Marlins who have lost 17 of their last 21 games. The Marlins just wrapped up a 1-6 homestand and now have to head out West to take on the surging Dodgers and their potent lineup.

It’s a recipe for really bad things.

Volquez is making his first start after a stint on the 10-day Disabled List with a thumb blister, but it may have been just as much of a rest while skipping the struggling starter in the rotation. He has walked four or more batters in more than half his starts this season. Meanwhile, Ryu has fallen well short of expectations as well, but should have a soft landing spot tonight against the scuffling Marlins. The Fish scored just four runs in their most recent series against the Astros.

The line is wide on the Dodgers tonight, but I think the runline has some nice value at +110. The Marlins have gone 4-17 in their last 21 games, and have lost by more than one run in six straight losses. They are losing and they aren’t even close to showing any sign of snapping out of the funk.

I’ll take the Dodgers tonight and will muscle up on the runline.

Today’s MLB Pick: LOS ANGELES DODGERS RUNLINE -1.5 (+110)

 

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