Marlins vs. Mets MLB Pick – August 7th

The New York Mets added their third win in two days last night, with a 5-0 win over the Miami Marlins at Citi Field. They swept the Marlins on Monday in a double-header and then followed it up with a convincing 5-0 win Tuesday. Zack Wheeler was locked in with a dominant pitching performance on the bump.

He and the bullpen combined to shutout the Marlins and advanced to 58-56 on the season. Out of reach in the NL East, the Mets have stormed up the standings and into wildcard contention. They won’t have to worry about catching the Braves, who have opened up a sizable lead in the division. But the Wild Card Game is there for the taking.

The Mets go into Wednesday down by 2 games for the final postseason slot. The Phillies and Nationals would play if the playoffs started today. Major League Baseball is certainly hoping that it ends up like that. Bryce Harper against his former team in a postseason matchup would generate some good ratings.

If Harper wants to get revenge on his old team, beating them in the playoffs would be a good way of doing it. I’m not sold on the Phillies at all, so even if they do reach the Wild Card Game and win, it could be a short stay for them in October.

The Phillies were losers last night against the Diamondbacks in the desert. Lefty Steven Matz will be the next pitcher in line to start for the Mets. Jordan Yamamoto, who had his scheduled start pushed back a day, is expected to finally get the green light on Wednesday. Get our free Marlins vs. Mets pick for early Wednesday afternoon below.

Miami Marlins vs. N.Y. Mets Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Mets -205/Marlins +175
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Jordan Yamamoto (4-2, 3.94 ERA)
  • Steven Matz (6-7, 4.60 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

The Mets have gotten to this point as a result of their pitching. They don’t have a terrible offense, but this is all about the pitching in Queens. At the trade deadline, the Mets’ rotation got even better by trading for Marcus Stroman. They were really good to begin with, but Stroman puts them over the top. The Mets got rid of Jason Vargas and got a major upgrade by bringing Stroman into the clubhouse.

He likely would have preferred going to the Yankees, but Stroman could be going to the postseason anyway with the Mets. The Mets are 12-1 in their previous 13 games. Steven Matz has had a hand in their success. He is far away from being their best option, but he is a nice guy to have in the back of the rotation. Matz has been especially valuable at home.

This season has been a story of two different outlooks for Matz. He has looked like a lost puppy on the road, as he’s gotten shredded for a 6.79 ERA and 1.67 WHIP. Conversely, Citi Field has been a breath of fresh air for Matz. He has been outstanding, posting an ERA of 2.06 and 1.08 WHIP in 48 innings at home. Matz has yet to take a loss at home in 2019.

Miami have struggled to generate offense against Matz as well. In 117 at-bats, the Marlins are hitting .222 with 6 runs scored on Matz. Yamamoto has a tough chore here, as he heads into Wednesday struggling recently. He had an electric start to his major league career, with no runs allowed in his first two outings.

However, Yamamoto has been regressing and finding out that negative variance can be no fun. The rookie has posted a 9.46 ERA in his previous three games, with 15 runs allowed in 14 innings of work. He’s quickly found out that it is not going to be as easy as it appeared early on in his major league career. The blazing hot Mets are hard to ignore in this spot. Consider a play on the Mets at -1.5 on the runline this afternoon.

The Bet
METS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.