Marlins vs. Mets MLB Pick – May 11th

The New York Mets play host to the Miami Marlins again on Saturday after a blowout Friday. They made easy work of the Marlins, as the Mets opened up a 11-2 win behind an 8-run 1st inning. The game was over before the Marlins could register 3 outs. It kind of sums up the Marlins from this season. It has been a really difficult journey for the Marlins, as they look for some progress after ownership unloaded their top talent in hopes of building for a better future. With each passing home run by Christian Yelich and the Marlins losing games, it makes his trade even harder to swallow. This would actually be a solid team if some of the guys they had in their possession were still members of the Marlins. That includes Jose Fernandez who died in a boating accident.

Considering how the Marlins didn’t want to pay Stanton and Yelich, it’s reasonable to assume that Fernandez would have been gone as well. He was almost on tap for a monster contract and that likely would have came from another team. Being cheap has been the modus operandi for the Marlins recently, so there isn’t any reason to believe that he’d still be in Miami.

The Marlins need to look at the future, which there are no guarantees, but they can’t possibly look at the present. The present is ugly and no one wants to look at what’s going on now. The Marlins enter with a record of 10-28 which is good for last in the major leagues. We will see if anything changes against Jacob deGrom and the New York Mets on Saturday. Head below for our free Marlins vs. Mets pick.

Miami Marlins vs. N.Y. Mets Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Mets -320/Marlins +260
  • O/U: 6.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Sandy Alcantara (1-3, 4.93 ERA)
  • Jacob deGrom (2-4, 3.60 ERA)

Betting odds provided by
The Marlins are a lifeless team who have lost eight straight games. That’s been the common theme for the Marlins throughout this season. With less than 3 runs scored per game, it’s hard to win many games when with an offense like that. There is little offensive threat on the team who Jacob deGrom is going to have to worry about here. They’re dead last and the only team to have scored less than 3 runs per session. It takes a lot of effort, or lack thereof to mange to score less than 3 runs per game.

This is likely going to set up a bad performance against deGrom on Saturday. deGrom’s numbers do not look like a defending Cy Young winner, but much of it is due to a really slow start out of the gates for deGrom. He has allowed just 2 runs in his last 14 innings pitched, though. That includes two games against the Reds and Padres.

If that’s any indicator, hitters are not going to be ecstatic to see deGrom on the bump. Expect deGrom to make it look easy against the Marlins. I don’t see them having enough to counter deGrom. Sandy Alcantara needs a good start more than deGrom, though. Alcantara heads into this one with an ERA of 4.93. With deGrom heating up, look for Alcantara to find it hard to stay on pace. Consider going with the Mets to win by 2 or more runs against the Marlins.

The Bet
METS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.