Marlins vs. Mets MLB Pick – September 11th

The Miami Marlins and New York Mets in a classic pointless battle between teams in September. Games between losing ball clubs that aren’t going to be playing in October is the ugly part of September. However, for Jacob deGrom don’t tell him that the rest of the season is pointless, at least when he is on the mound. He has his eyes set on a Cy Young, which is something for the Mets to get excited about with just a few weeks left.

We’ll see if he can get some help from the offense tonight, as run support has been a recurring theme for deGrom in 2018. If he were on a good team, the Cy Young would be a lock by now for him. However, since he’s on the Mets and has an 8-8 record, there have been some who say his chances are up in the air. I don’t know how you can penalize him for that, but we’ll see which direction they go with the award. deGrom himself has tried to help at the plate, as he hasn’t been a bad hitting pitcher this season.

Note that yesterday was rained out, so everything gets pushed back. The Mets have been playing decent baseball recently, as they head into Tuesday with two wins in a row and 7-3 in their last ten games. It’s a little too late to make a late push for the postseason, but they’re at least showing some life and not giving up. The offense has been much better in the second-half. If their pitchers got some help in the first-half, they’d maybe be in contention right now. deGrom would have certainly appreciated it. Head below for our free Marlins vs. Mets pick on Tuesday at Citi Field.

Miami Marlins vs. N.Y. Mets Pick

Jose Urena (5-12, 4.41 ERA) vs. Jacob deGrom (8-8, 1.68 ERA)

There isn’t much more to say about how well deGrom has been pitching in 2018. He hasn’t allowed more than 1 run since an August 13th date against the Yankees. We have to go back to July 28th to locate the last time he gave up more than 2 runs. He enters with an ERA of 1.68 and 0.96 WHIP. The next closest pitcher to him in the National League is Aaron Nola, who sports an ERA of 2.29. Following Nola is Scherzer with a 2.31 ERA.

The Phillies may not go to the postseason, and the Nats definitely aren’t, so despite an average record for deGrom, the Cy Young should go to him. He’s been even better at home with an ERA of 1.59. He is 1st in home runs allowed per 9 innings with just 0.431 surrendered. The Marlins have hit just 1 long ball against deGrom in 107 at-bats.

The best hope the Marlins have in this Marlins likely going to be through pitcher Jose Urena. However, Urena hasn’t been at his best against the Mets in his career. This lineup is hitting .311 with a .345 OBP against Urena in 106 at-bats. Jay Bruce has taken him deep twice in 15 at-bats, which includes a .333 batting average. There are eight guys on the Mets active roster that are hitting above .300 against Urena in their careers. He enters with an ERA of 4.72 and .301 OBA on the road in 2018. The bats should be able to help deGrom out this evening at Citi Field. They’ve averaged 6.5 runs per game across their last four games, which would likely be more than enough with deGrom doing his thing. I like a 4-1 or 5-2 win for the Mets over the Marlins.

The Bet: METS -1.5 (-120)

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.