Everyone knows the common refrain from baseball – It’s a long season.
We will find out if that is a good thing or bad for the San Diego Padres. Is is a “long season” or a “loooooonng season.” They are three games deep into the season and have yet to score a run. The Dodgers became only the second team in MLB history to start the season by shutting out an opponent in the first three games, which is good news for the Dodgers. But not scoring in your first home stand is certainly less than great news for the Padres. The good news is they have 159 more games to muster a run… so perhaps a month from now all will be forgiven and forgotten…. Or….
Meanwhile, we came up a few runs shy last night as both Aaron Nola and Brandon Finnegan showed some young promise last night. Each was touched up for a homerun in the first inning and threw up zeros the rest of the evening. For Philly, the story was the same – starting pitcher gives solid performance only to watch the Reds touch up their bullpen and turn a win into a no decision (and loss for the club). The two wrap up the series this afternoon in the only EST matinee in MLB action Thursday (there are a bunch of 4pm starts though, so make sure you check the time on any picks today)
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Today’s Free Pick:
Miami Marlins +113 at Washington Nationals -123 (Total: 7.5)
Adam Conley vs. Tanner Roarke
The Nationals are off to a 2-0 start, but they had to scrap a few runs late to get there, including a game aided by the new controversial ‘sliding into second’ rule, which should just be called the Utley Rule for simplicity sake (and easy fan recognition). Today they send Tanner Roarke to the mound. He went 4-7 last year with an ERA of 4.38. He posted a 7.35 ERA in his two appearances against the Marlins.
Meanwhile, Miami counters with Adam Conley was good in his limited rookie action last year, posting a 4-1 record with a respectable 3.76 ERA. He has a tidy 1.86 ERA in the Spring, but lasted no more than three inning in any appearance. Obviously, they will stretch him out some today if they can, but you can expect the Marlins bullpen to see more than a few innings tonight.
This should add up to a game that favors the offenses. There is some hints of rain, so a shortened game could screw up our plans, but that feels like a little bit of a random variable to not sway the pick. I’ll take the offenses tonight to put up some runs. I like the Nats to scratch out enough to win late, but my favorite play is the OVER the reasonable 7.5 TOTAL. They’ve averaged 9.8 runs in their past five matchups head-to-head, and I’ll take them to continue that trend today.