Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick – June 13

The MLB is set up with another strong slate of baseball action on June 13. Ten games are up on the board throughout Monday night. One of these games will be between the Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies. These two teams have struggled a bit on the season, but will look for a big win in this one. This game will throw the first pitch at around 7:05 PM Eastern time.

Miami has earned a record of 27-31 throughout the season, which has them sitting in fourth place of the NL East. The Marlins are coming off a loss in their last game, but are 7-3 in their last 10. Miami is five and a half games out of a wild card spot. The Marlins will look to keep climbing with a big road win this one.

The Phillies have put up a record of 30-30 so far on the season, which has them in third place of the NL East. Philadelphia is coming off a loss in their last game, which ended a nine game winning streak. The Phillies will look to get back in the win column in this one. I expect Philadelphia to come out strong at home.

These two teams are sitting outside the playoff picture to this point in the season, but will look to close that gap with a win in this one. The Marlins have picked up their play as of late and will look to keep it going on the road. Philadelphia will look to start a new winning streak in this one. If either team can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Miami Marlins +1 ½ (-170) +117 Over 7 ½ (-110)
Philadelphia Phillies -1 ½ (+145) -140 Under 7 ½ (-110)

 

Team Data Miami Marlins Philadelphia Phillies
Overall Record 27-31 30-30
Away/ Home Record 12-17 17-16
Batting Average .244 .250
Batting Average Away/ Home .231 .243
ERA 3.79 3.93
ERA Away/ Home 4.00 3.46

Betting Trends

Miami Marlins

  • 8-4 in June games
  • 1-4 when playing on Monday’s
  • 15-7 against divisional opponents
  • 17-19 in night games
  • 19-25 against right handed starters
  • 15-16 after a loss

Philadelphia Phillies

  • 9-1 in June games
  • 4-2 when playing on Monday
  • 6-14 against divisional opponents
  • 20-21 in night games
  • 19-23 against right handed starters
  • 11-18 after a loss
  • 7-9 against team with a losing record

These two teams have met up four times on the season. Joey Wendle had two RBI’s in the first game as Miami earned a 4-3 win at home. Jesus Aguilar had three RBI’s in the second game as the Marlins won 7-1. Philadelphia bounced back with a 10-3 win as Alec Bohm had three RBI’s. Jazz Chisholm Jr. had three RBI’s in the final game of the set as Miami won 11-3.

Offense

The Marlins have struggled a bit at the plate on the season. Miami has earned a batting average of .244, which is 14th in the league. The Marlins have a .315 OBP, which is 14th in the MLB. Miami has posted an OPS of .711, which is 13th in the league. The Marlins have also hit .256 against right handers this season.

Philadelphia has been solid hitting the ball throughout this season. The Phillies have a .250 batting average, which is 8th in the MLB. Philadelphia has an on base percentage of .317, which is 12th in the league. The Phillies have also put up an OPS of .741, which is 6th in the MLB. Philadelphia has also hit .251 against righties.

The Phillies have been a bit better at the plate on the season, but Miami has been better against right handers. The Marlins will look to attack the starter early in this one. Miami has also found success hitting against Philadelphia early in the season. If either team can come out strong at the plate, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

Sandy Alcantara will likely get the start on the mound for Miami in this one. Alcantara has started in 12 games this season, going 6-2 in those starts. He has posted a 1.61 ERA and a WHIP of 0.944 in his outings. Alcantara’s last start was against the Washington Nationals. He pitched nine innings and gave up six hits and no runs.

I expect Aaron Nola to get the nod at pitcher for the Phillies on Monday night. Nola has earned a record of 4-4 throughout 12 starts on the season. He has put up an ERA of 3.50 and a 0.884 WHIP in his games played. Nola pitched eight innings in his last start against the Milwaukee Brewers, giving up four hits and no runs. 

These two pitchers are coming off dominant performances in their last starts and will look to keep it going. Both teams will lean on their starts as their bullpens have struggled a bit. The Marlins relievers have given up an ERA of 4.20, while Philadelphia’s bullpen has an ERA of 4.19. Both teams will look for their starter to give them a solid outing.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been up and down on the season and will look for a big win in this one. These two pitchers have been great throughout the season and I expect a solid outing. Miami has been a bit better against Philadelphia as of late and will look to keep it going. If the Marlins can get an early lead, I think they can win on the road.

Bovada has the Phillies listed as -140 against the money line in this one. This implies that Philadelphia will win this game around 58.3 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer to even with both aces on the mound. This game could go either way, which gives value to the underdogs. I am taking Miami to keep up their success against the Phillies.

The Bet
Miami Marlins
+117
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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