Marlins vs. Phillies Pick – MLB April 21st

The Detroit Tigers have been winning games in a lot of different ways lately. They have been blowing out teams, winning the close ones, and last night came from behind late to capture a 2-1 win over the Yankees. It didn’t happen as I called it, as I thought CC Sabathia was going to get rocked. But for the way he pitched last night it was a tough loss to take for him. Alfredo Simon went toe-to-toe with him all night and gave the Tigers another impressive start. An excellent start for Simon’s career in Detroit. The loss of Scherzer sure doesn’t feel so that bad now. We are only in April, though, so lets not get ahead of ourselves just yet. Heck, what is happening in June in baseball usually has no bearing on what happens months later when it really starts to matter. Just look at the San Fran Giants who always seem to float under the radar for the first few months of the season, and then suddenly wake up and go and win a World Series. For the Tigers, they are hoping that they can keep it going from April to October. The last two times they had starts to their season like this they won World Series in both years.

Let’s turn our attention tonight now. We take a look at a rather unappealing game that isn’t going to get much attention. That doesn’t matter to me, whatever cashes is the motto. The Miami Marlins were expecting to have a breakout season behind Giancarlo, but have fallen flat thus far. Stanton is hitting only .239 so there is work left for him to do there, but it is rather early. I expect Stanton to go on a major tear sooner than later. I expected the Phillies to be a little lackluster this season, so their 4-9 record is about on pace with what I believed. It doesn’t feel all that long ago that the Phillies had a monster pitching rotation. Flash forward to 2015 and what they have is a rotation that features Jerome Williams

Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies

Dan Haren (1-0, 2.08 ERA) vs. Jerome Williams (0-1, 4.09 ERA)

The Marlins look to Dan Haren today to get their fourth win of the season. Haren is responsible for one of the three for the Marlins. Haren has etched out a pretty good career for himself. He isn’t one of the top 5 best pitchers in MLB, but he is steady and consistent as they come. His best years are certainly behind him; however, he still has the ability to put together good starts. There isn’t much you can knock about him thus far this season. He has only allowed 7 hits in total in 13 innings pitched. Haren also has a solid ERA of 2.08 parlayed with a spectacular 0.69 WHIP and .196 OBP. Also, he walked only 2 hitters in those starts. The Phillies have had a heck of a time trying to hit right-handed pitching, where they are only .179 against them in their last five games. The offense has been a trouble spot all season long really. They’ve averaged only 2.3 runs in their last ten.

Jerome Williams is one of the oldest starting pitchers in the league. He got his first start in 1999 and since then has never seen a season where his ERA fell under 3.00. I can’t tell you why he is still around to be honest. You would think after that long you’d pack it in, or a team wouldn’t give him a contract. This season Williams has gotten off to a season where he has a 4.09 ERA which is about where to expect him to be. More troublesome is the 1.55 WHIP of his. While the Marlins offense has gotten off to a slow start, they have been hitting righties well lately with a .271 batting average compared to .182 against left handers. After four straight losses I like the Marlins to get on track against Jerome Williams and the lifeless Phillies.