It’s a busy day of National League action with a lot of the games taking place in the afternoon, including the day’s marquee matchup, the first-place Colorado Rockies trying to win their fifth game in six tries this season against the once-again scuffling Cubs.
Elsewhere, the Dodgers snapped the Reds four-game winning streak with Josh Turner homering in his first at bat in his return from injury. Welcome back Josh! The Dodgers pushed their home record to a ridiculous 23-10. They will be looking for more today with Alex Wood and his perfect 6-0 record and 1.93 ERA on the mound. Clayton Kershaw is the headliner, but Wood has actually been better in most statistical categories in 2017, providing a HUGE boost to the Dodgers.
Ervin Santana blanked the Giants last night, and we notched an underdog winner that felt too good to be true – how were the Twins the ‘dog last night?? Alas, they were. And we cashed a nice winner to run the recent MLB run 7-2-1 over our last ten games with three underdog winners (+513). Let’s see if we can keep a nice weekend rocking and rolling tonight…
Today’s MLB Pick:
Miami Marlins -114 at Pittsburgh Pirates +104 (Total: 9.5)
Dan Straily (4-4, 3.59 ERA) vs. Trevor Williams (3-3, 4.57 ERA)
This is a game between two teams heading in opposite directions. The Marlins were left for dead after a disastrous start to the season that had them looking like the worst team in baseball and Don Mattingly looking like he’d soon be seeking new employment. But the Fish have started hitting, moving all the way up to a tie for second in batting average in the NL at .268. Giancarlo is starting to crush baseballs again and the Marlins have won seven of their last ten overall.
Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has dropped seven of ten and fallen to nine games under .500 and a -40 run differential. It’s looking bleak in Pittsburgh; between injuries, suspensions and the failure of young pitching to deliver on their immense promise, things are beginning to spiral in the ‘Burgh. They are 11th in batting average and 13th in slugging percentage. Combine that with a starting pitching staff that ranks ninth with a 4.74 ERA, and you can see where some trouble ensues.
Straily has been decent against the Bucs in his career, with numbers that almost exactly mirror his current season – .500 record and an ERA in the mid/high threes. Assuming he can provide a quality start tonight, the Fish should have a good chance to outslug the Pirates. Trevor Williams is likely pitching to keep his spot in the starting rotation. Williams is 2-2 with a 4.26 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in six starts since replacing Taillon in the rotation, but the promising youngster won’t be shelved forever…
I think the Marlins use their more established starters and much more potent offense to power to another victory.
Today’s MLB Pick: MIAMI MARLINS TO WIN -114