Marlins vs. Rockies MLB Pick – August 17th

An uncharacteristic final score at Coors Field in Denver last night, as the Rockies got a lights out performance by their pitching staff. Jon Gray had a career night on the bump, going 8 strong innings with no runs allowed while yielding 5 hits. Colorado closed the game out on the Marlins with a scoreless 9th inning performance by Scott Oberg. Jon Gray has been one of the few pitchers in the majors this season who hasn’t suffered much damage at Coors Field.

Scoring only 3 runs in Denver is more times than not going to be enough offense to come out with a victory. Ryan McMahon led all hitters with 2 RBI’s, which came on a 2nd inning long bomb. Nolan Arenado added a late solo homer for an insurance marker. A win is a win, albeit the Rockies did it in an unconventional way for their standards. Gray is certainly no slouch, though, so we can’t ignore his performance last night.

The Rockies have already built a big enough hole that they’re not going to get out of, though. They didn’t give themselves enough slack to make a run at the postseason in September. The Rockies sit 26 games back of the Dodgers for 1st in the NL West 9 games away from a wildcard. They have to leapfrog seven teams between now and the end of September, which isn’t happening. In other words, 2019 is going to go down as a huge disappointment after reaching the postseason a season ago.

There really has been no pitching depth in the Rockies’ rotation this season. It doesn’t just go for pitching at Coors Field, either. Their pitching staff has struggled to get outs at most parks around the majors. The standout year Kyle Freeland had last season has turned into a nightmare this year, so that is one reason for their decline. German Marquez, who has struggled in Denver, will give it another go on Saturday. Hector Noesi will counter for the Marlins on the other side. Head below for our free Marlins vs. Rockies pick.

Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Rockies -250/Marlins +210
  • O/U: 12

Pitching Matchup:

  • Hector Noesi (0-2, 8.18 ERA)
  • German Marquez (11-5, 4.75 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

The Marlins didn’t suffer from a poor pitching on Friday. In fact, Sandy Alcantara was quite sharp in 7 innings of work, allowing just 2 hits and 2 earned runs. There isn’t much he could have done there other than hope for some run support, which he of course did not get. The Marlins can only dream about getting that kind of production from their starter Saturday. It’s possible, but don’t hold your breath on Hector Noesi.

Noesi is back in the major leagues after last throwing a pitch in the majors back in 2015. The Marlins are using him as a late season fill-in for their rotation. They need somebody to stand there and throw some pitches and the Marlins landed on Noesi. He posted an ERA of 6.89 in ten appearances with the White Sox in 2015. A year earlier, he had a 11.81 ERA in three appearances with the Rangers. So, the Marlins saw a pitcher with a pulse in the minors and decided to promote him instead of wearing out a young prospect.

That was the last we seen of him until recently. Noesi has made two starts for the Marlins and he has predictably gotten smacked. He allowed 5 earned runs in each outing, having surrendered 10 earned runs in 11 innings of work. Noesi enters Saturday in Denver with an ERA of 8.18 and 1.36 WHIP. The Marlins aren’t expecting much from Noesi and you shouldn’t as well. Look for Noesi to take a beating in this one on Saturday at Coors Field.

German Marquez has not excelled at Coors Field this season, so the Marlins might have a case if their offense can get swinging. Marquez enters this contest with an ERA of 6.45 and 1.58 WHIP at home in 2019. Miami have been adequate against Marquez in his career, hitting .274 with 8 runs scored in 62 plate appearances. After a quiet night at Coors Field last night, expect the scoring to open up enough to put this matchup OVER the total in Denver.

The Bet
OVER 12
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.