The Miami Marlins and Colorado Rockies get their weekend clash started on Friday night at Coors Field. The Rockies are coming off a 6-4 win over the Mets last night, completing three wins in a row over them. They lost the first in the four-game series, but rebounded nicely to win three in a row. With the win, the Rockies went to 37-38 on the year, which is pretty well where they are expected to be.
Maybe their fans expected more, but it’s accurate for their talent level. It’s just so difficult to attract pitchers to want to play in Colorado. For the Rockies, it is a difficult chore to make a case. No pitcher ideally wants to pitch in a park where the ball is on a launching pad. With the altitude in Denver, that’s essentially what it is like trying to navigate around Coors Field for a pitcher.
It isn’t the rule, though. There have been exceptions, like Ubaldo Jimenez who had the best time of his career in Colorado. Jon Gray will get the call for the Rockies on the bump this evening. He could use a nice start to give his numbers a lift, because they aren’t looking too fantastic for him at the moment. He started the year off rather inconsistently, and then he hit a rather big wall and the positive starts have been hard to find lately.
Gray is well of the pace of his 3.67 ERA from a year ago. The Marlins will counter with veteran Wei-Yin Chen. They are another team that is trying to get their starting rotation sorted out, and Chen has regressed as well. The news isn’t getting any better with Dan Straily getting a 5-game suspension for throwing at Buster Pose. The Marlins had the day off yesterday, as they recouped from a couple of losses in San Francisco. Get our free Marlins vs. Rockies pick below.
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies Pick
Wei-Yin Chen (2-3, 5.91 ERA) vs. Jon Gray (6-7, 5.89 ERA)
Chen only got through five starts in 2017 before he was knocked out of commission. In five starts, Chen finished with an ERA of 3.82. The 32-year-old hoped he could bounce right back from the arm injury, but whether it’s bothering him or not, he’s been a bit erratic on the bump. He is on pace for the worst season of his six-year career. Chen enters with a 5.91 ERA and 1.62 WHIP.
It’s been much worse for him on the road, as he’s yielded an ERA of 8.88, with a 1.93 WHIP and .398 OBA. Number 8 is a lucky number to the Chinese, but all Chen has been able to come up with is 4’s in 2018. The Rockies are hitting much better against lefties at a clip of .266 vs .239 against right-handed pitching. In their last five games, the Rockies have beat up left-handed pitching for an average of .422. They’ve also scored 26 runs in their last three games at home.
If the altitude isn’t bad enough for Gray, he’s going to have to deal with a Marlins lineup that has a solid history against him. Note that the Marlins are hitting .333 against him in 33 at-bats. Gray has gotten touched up for a 6.45 ERA and 1.59 WHIP at home in 2018. In his last three outings at home, he’s allowed 14 runs in 14.2 innings of work. Two of those games came against bad offenses, the Giants and Reds. The OVER is 17-3-2 in the Rockies last 22 games and 10-2-1 in their last 13 at home in Denver. It’s a high total, like the majority of games played in Colorado, but I like this was to go OVER the posted total of 11.5.