Marlins vs. Tigers MLB Pick – May 21st

The Miami Marlins and Detroit Tigers were inactive on Monday, as they get ready for a three-game interleague series. This is a rather ugly looking series for outside observers. Absolutely nobody is interested in watching the Marlins and Tigers play unless there is some money on the line. Marlins and Tigers’ fans aren’t going to be too interested in Caleb Smith against Spencer Turnbull, either.

However, Smith and Turnbull could be pitchers that are in the spotlight down the road. Both young hurlers, Smith and Turnbull have mightily impressive early on in 2019. They’re in their first full seasons of action in the major leagues. Smith saw 2 starts in 2017, while getting his feet a little wetter with 16 starts last season.

Turnbull is seeing just his second season of major league play. He saw three starts and had a rough time, but it wasn’t anything more to give him some innings to see what it’s like to pitch under brighter lights.

Turnbull hasn’t been getting much attention, though he is pitching like a guy worthy of playing in the All-Star Game in July. The same goes for Smith, who has been one of the few standout performers in a throwaway season.

Having said that, the Marlins did not look like a last place team over the weekend. They had their best series of the year with a sweep of the New York Mets in Miami. The Mets, especially Robinson Cano, looked like they’d rather be laying on the beach in Florida than playing baseball.

Cano was benched yesterday for a lack of effort and his team looked better for it. The Marlins looked like the better team over the weekend. Meanwhile, the Tigers were right there with the Mets, as they suffered a sweep against the Athletics. It was their second straight sweep. Head below for our free Marlins vs. Tigers pick.

Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Tigers -113/Marlins -107
  • O/U: 7.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Caleb Smith (3-1, 2.25 ERA)
  • Spencer Turnbull (2-3, 2.40 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Along with the sweep against the Marlins, the Tigers suffered a sweep by the Houston Astros. In all, the Tigers are on a six-game losing streak heading into tonight. Predictably so, as the Tigers were expected to go on these cold droughts throughout the season.

They don’t have a lineup that can consistently win games. This certainly isn’t going to be the last cold streak of the season for the Tigers. In any case, with the 13-31 Marlins coming to town, this might be a nice opportunity to get out of a rut, though.

The Tigers will have to deal with lefty, Caleb Smith, who has been performing well for the Marlins this season. Just like Turnbull, he is going to get overlooked because he’s playing on a losing team. However, it’s foolish to ignore him if you are looking to make money.

Smith goes into Tuesday with an ERA of 2.25 and 0.92 WHIP. He’s given up more than 2 runs just once this season, which came back on April 7th. In his previous six games, he hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in a start. He should find it easy to get easy outs against the Tigers on Tuesday.

Detroit are 29th in the major leagues with just 3.32 runs scored per game. They’ve gone on a major skid recently, as they’ve recorded only 2.9 runs per game in their last ten outings. With Caleb Smith rolling on the mound, it’s expected that he handles the Tigers’ lineup nicely.

There is only one team in MLB that has scored less runs than the Tigers this season. That team is the Marlins, who are 30th with 2.68 runs scored per game. Their offense is likely to struggle against Turnbull. He has been on fire with an ERA of 2.40 and 2.16 ERA in his last three outings.

He hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs since April 11th against the Indians. Turnbull has surrendered 1 or no runs in five of his last six outings. This looks like it is shaping up to be a 3-2 or 4-2 final, so consider a look at the UNDER at Comerica Park on Tuesday in Detroit.

The Bet
UNDER 7.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.