Mets vs. Braves MLB Pick – June 19th

The Atlanta Braves laid down last night and allowed the New York Mets to give them a pretty good beating. The bleeding didn’t stop for the Braves. By the end of 9 innings they were looking up at a 10-2 loss. Jacob deGrom shouldered the load for the Mets on the mound, as he went 8.1 innings with 5 hits allowed and didn’t allow a run until the 9th inning.

He couldn’t get the shutout, though it’s a nice night at the office for deGrom. The same couldn’t be said for Julio Teheran, who was on fire before getting rattled by the Mets. Teheran was knocked for 8 hits and 6 earned runs in 4 innings of work. The Braves had no chance of recovering from that with deGrom locked in on Monday night. It will be interesting to see how Teheran responds from that, because he was pitching as good as ever before that flare up against the Mets.

Nevertheless, that was only the second loss in their previous 12 games. With the Philadelphia Phillies matchup against the Nationals getting rained out, everything remains the same in the NL East. The Braves will keep their 2.5-game lead in the division going into the Wednesday card. It was the second straight rainout for the Phillies. Atlanta will give it another go on Wednesday and hopefully get better results.

They fortunately will not have to deal with deGrom on the bump in this one. The Mets will give the starting nod to Steve Matz, who isn’t a bad pitcher in his own right, but is no deGrom. The Mets might be having a fire sale at the trade deadline and Matz might be a target.

Syndergaard and Zack Wheeler have both been rumored to be on the out, while Matz could be available as well. Matz will have a tricky start on Wednesday, as he will tasked with slowing down an Atlanta offense who are coming off their worst performance in over a week. Max Fried will start opposite Matz for the Braves in this one. Head below for our free Mets vs. Braves pick.

N.Y. Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Braves -153/Mets +133
  • O/U: 9.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Steven Matz (5-4, 3.93 ERA)
  • Max Fried (7-3, 4.11 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

It can’t be easy to be a pitcher for the Mets these days. With trade rumors swirling around all of the time, no one really knows what their future holds. Even deGrom’s name has been floated around in trade talks, but the most likely is going to be Noah Syndergaard. Zack Wheeler has a strong possibility of being traded as well.

Matz isn’t safe either, but he’s likely not going before Wheeler. The lefty has been decent enough for the Mets, having posted an ERA of 3.93 and 1.33 WHIP this year. He’s not great or anything, but you kind of know what you’re going to get from Matz.

Matz hasn’t sported his best look on the road this season. He enters Atlanta with an ERA of 5.79 and 1.53 WHIP in 32.2 innings of road work. Matz has yielded 7 runs and 12 hits in his last 12 innings on the road. He’s also been up and down recently, with an ERA of 5.00 and 1.28 WHIP in his previous three contests.

Before last night, the Braves scored 27 runs in two games and averaged 9.07 runs per game in their previous ten, and 8.53 runs in their last ten games. An elite pitcher like deGrom isn’t going to be in their way today. Expect the offense to get back in the mix and put up nice numbers in this one. Despite the slow night, the Braves are still the 4th best offense in the majors overall in 2019.

The Braves might have to bring the bats out for a big evening, because Max Fried hasn’t been the most reliable option recently. He’s been an inconsistent pitcher of late and has been getting whipped around pretty good.

In his previous four starts, Fried has allowed 17 runs in 20.1 innings of work. That also includes 31 hits and 8 walks yielded. He will go into tonight with a 7.98 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in his previous three outings. The OVER has gone 10-0 in the Braves’ last ten games and 7-2-1 to the OVER for the Mets. I can see another one coming in on Wednesday between the Mets and Braves.

The Bet
OVER 9.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.