Mets vs. Braves Pick – May 1st

Think YOU had a decent weekend?  Anthony Rendon begs to differ.  The previously-struggling Nationals veteran tied a Major League record by knocking in TEN RUNS yesterday in the Nationals staggering 23-5 defeat over the New York Mets. He hit three homeruns in the process to help improve the Nationals record to 17-8 and move their MLB-best run differential to +48.

And despite all those offensive fireworks, the biggest fireworks of the day were caused by the early exit of Noah Syndergaard just a few days after refusing to take a team-requested MRI.  The Mets are already in last place, have their two most powerful bats on the Disabled List, and now have the ace of their rotation’s status in flux.  The Nats are already five games ahead of the entire division and six and a half ahead of the Mets and looking like they could run away and hide.

We took another loss yesterday with the Rockies and Diamondbacks staying UNDER the run total for just the second time in eleven head-to-head matchups, and doing so is easy fashion.  Neither team scored a single run until Descalso’s 13-inning two0run walk off homer.

Let’s start a much better week tonight.

Today’s MLB Pick:

New York Mets +107 at Atlanta Braves -115 (Total: 8.5)
Robert Gsellman (0-2, 6.23 ERA) vs. Julio Tehran (2-1, 3.38 ERA)

Not to pile on the Mets, but if there was ever a time to do so, tonight is the night.  The Mets are pitching one of the weaker links in their vaunted rotation, their top run producer is on the DL (Cespedes) and things are certainly tumultuous in the Big Apple right now.  Making matters worse, they are facing a pitcher who has delighted in ripping through the Mets batters in Julio Tehran.  Tehran is 8-3 with a 2.25 ERA in his career against the Mets and has been even better in his last seven starts, posting a 4-0 record with a dazzling 0.77 ERA.

It hasn’t been often the Braves were favored against the Mets, but they are certainly worthy faves this evening.  They have been playing good baseball lately, winning four of their last five games and despite a similar record to the Mets, their run differential is far better at -3 versus -28.

The pitching matchup alone makes the Braves a very worthy favorite and the line at just -117 is very favorable.  The runline offers some great juice at +175, but I’ll play it slump-buster conservative tonight and just stick with the Bravos to get the W.


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