The Milwaukee Brewers were a fancy pick by a lot of people to have a good year in 2018. It’s been a solid start for the Brew Crew thus far, as they’re 1st in the National League Central with a record of 31-19. The Brewers have a real shot at going to the postseason and making some noise. Talk about the Brewers being a quality team started to precipitate after they signed former Royal Lorenzo Cain to a hefty contract.
Cain hasn’t necessarily been the catalyst for the Brewers to their 31-19 season, but he does provide a guy who has recently won a World Series. The real stars for the Brewers lately has been their pitching, which has come as a bit of a surprise. Milwaukee were expected to be a good team, but it was supposed to come from the offense. Notably, the bullpen has really been putting on a show in Milwaukee.
It isn’t the most exciting way to win ball games, but a lockdown bullpen is the recipe for success in the postseason. Milwaukee fans have been waiting for a winner, and with this bullpen, they’re going to be in fine form moving forward. The Brewers are coming off a beatdown on the D-Backs yesterday, as they earned a 9-2 victory on Wednesday. It was their sixth win in the last seven outings.
Meanwhile, the Mets wasted a brilliant performance from Jacob deGrom, as they fell to the Marlins by a score of 2-1. They’ve been getting used to doing that with deGrom on the mound. The Mets had won four in a row thanks to standout pitching, but they’ve dropped their last two as a result of a stagnant offense. Head below for our free Mets vs. Brewers pick.
N.Y. Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick
Steven Matz (1-3, 4.42 ERA) vs. Zach Davies (2-3, 4.24 ERA)
The Mets received zero push from the offense the last two days, as they managed to scratch just a run across the plate in each. They touched 5 runs once during their four-game winning streak. Conversely, the pitching was outstanding, allowing an average of just 1.5 runs per game. Steven Matz will get the call for the Mets in Milwaukee. Matz’ numbers look okay, but he has given up 1 run in two of his last three starts.
He was tagged for 4 against the Diamondbacks at home. That was the first time he surrendered more than 3 runs all season long. Also, note that Matz has been better on the road, with a 2.70 ERA compared to 5.40 at home. Additionally, the Brewers are hitting lefties at a rate of just .204. In their last five games against left-handed pitchers, the Brewers are hitting .190.
Like we already alluded to, the bullpen has been fantastic for the Brewers. Their relievers as a team are 1st in the majors with an ERA of 2.53 and OBA of .206. The Mets’ bullpen isn’t too bad, 11th with an ERA of 3.75. Starter, Zach Davies, has been performing lately, too. In his last three starts, he posted a 2.00 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. His numbers have also been skewed up on the road, where he holds a 5.06 ERA vs a 3.50 ERA at home in Milwaukee. The UNDER is 5-1 in the Mets last six games, as their offense has struggled to get it going. The Mets are 20th in the majors with 4.1 runs scored per game, while the Brewers are 24th averaging 3.98 runs per game. I’d take a look at the UNDER tonight in Milwaukee. I believe it’s a half run too high.