Mets vs. Dodgers MLB Pick – May 28th

It wasn’t the kind of game that you would expect with Jacob deGrom and Clayton Kershaw on the mound. However, the Mets got to Kershaw for 3 runs and the Dodgers chipped away at deGrom to knock him out of the game after just 5 innings. The Dodgers put pressure on deGrom with 7 hits and 2 runs, and then pummeled the bullpen quickly. They jumped all over the Mets’ pen for 6 runs and had a chance with the bases loaded to add more.

Wilmer Font induced Russell Martin to ground out or it could have turned into something much uglier. Mets’ manager, Mickey Callaway, will undoubtedly take heat for pulling deGrom after 5 innings of work. His pitch count was getting up there, so it wasn’t a wrong move. Destroying his shoulder over a May baseball game is not a good idea. Cody Bellinger, Chris Taylor, and Enrique Hernandez all connected for long bombs last night in their comfortable win over the Mets.

The Mets didn’t play dead, though, as they scored 2 runs in the top of the 8th to pull the Mets within 3 runs. J.D. Davis had the bases loaded with 1 out and he hit into a sac-fly double play, so it was a missed opportunity for far more damage. Bellinger made an insane throw from the outfield to 3rd base to complete the play. Along with a dinger, Bellinger had a standout night on Monday.

The game was on the line there and the Dodgers were able to work their way out of a jam with Kenley Jansen on the bump. The Dodgers are in control of the NL West, and barring something crazy happening, they are likely going to be able to put the season on cruise control in September and still win the division.

The Padres are the closest team, but they’re behind by 8 games. They got better in the offseason. However, still have work left to do if they want to compete with the big boys in the National League. What was expected to be their biggest threat, the Colorado Rockies, have been off to a slow start and are just trying to get above .500 at the moment. Rich Hill will make his sixth start of the season tonight, while fellow lefty, Steven Matz, will counter for the Mets. Head below for our free Mets vs. Dodgers pick.

N.Y. Mets vs. L.A. Dodgers Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -200/Mets +170
  • O/U: 9

Pitching Matchup:

  • Steven Matz (3-3, 3.63 ERA)
  • Rich Hill (1-1, 2.67 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

The Mets score 5 runs with deGrom on the mound and you expect to win games. However, deGrom hasn’t been in Cy Young form this season and they were dealing with a red-hot Dodgers team. The Dodgers have made it easy for fans to forget about Yasiel Puig and Manny Machado, as they’re putting up a healthy amount of runs without them. Following 9 runs last night, the Dodgers have scored 37 runs in their previous four games. That amounts to an average of 9.25 runs per game. They’ve gone 6-1 in their last seven games and 10-2 in their last 12 outings.

Their dominance over the Mets continued last night as well. With the win, the Dodgers are 16-5 in their last 21 meetings. The Mets have also gone 2-7 in their last nine trips to play the Dodgers in Los Angeles. Tuesday night should be tricky for the Mets at the plate, as they have to deal with Rich Hill, who has done nothing wrong since getting back in the rotation on April 28th. He enters with an ERA of 2.67 and 1.07 WHIP. In his previous three tilts, Hill posted a 2.12 ERA and WHIP of 0.94.

Hill has allowed only 1 run in his last 12 innings. He also has 17 strikeouts to go along with that impressive stretch on the mound. The Mets have been serviceable against Hill with a .246 batting average and 3 home runs in 57 at-bats. Considering how well the Dodgers are swinging the bats, it may ultimately not matter much what Hill does, though.

Matz goes into Dodger Stadium with an ERA of 6.10 and 1.60 WHIP on the road this season. He was tattooed for 5 runs in 6 innings in his last showing against the Dodgers. They are hitting .265 with 4 home runs against Matz in 49 appearances at the dish. The bats likely come to have fun again on Tuesday for the Dodgers. Getting plus money on them to win by 2 runs or more at home looks like a solid play.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.