Mets vs. Dodgers MLB Pick – September 4th

Tough night in Los Angeles for the Dodgers last night, as they failed to generate much offense against the Mets. Understandably so against Cy Young favorite, Jacob deGrom, who just added another dominant performance to his resume. However, they were tied late when it got around to the bullpen. The Dodgers couldn’t come up with the clutch hit, while the Mets sent a 3-run bomb over the fence to take a 4-1 lead in the top of the 9th. The Dodgers threatened in the bottom of the 9th, but it wasn’t enough with the game ending on a double-play.

Kenta Maeda recently got moved to the bullpen due to the return of Hyun-Jin Ryu and he did anything but provide relief last night. The Mets scoring 4 runs in a deGrom start is more than enough to secure a win. He’s gotten zero run support from his offense as he vies for the Cy Young. deGrom was responsible for tying the game up with a 2 out single and then the Mets got some help in the 9th. It’s a bad loss for the Dodgers, as they slip to a half game back in the National League West. The new leader of the division is the Colorado Rockies. The Rockies won a crazy back-and-forth affair over the Giants yesterday to grab sole possession of the NL West.

The Mets and Dodgers will do it all over again Tuesday night at Dodger Stadium. Going from Jacob deGrom to Jason Vargas is always a downer, but Vargas has been pitching well recently. The Mets have been playing quality baseball as well, with three wins in a row and winners in four of their last five games. It’s all been because of the pitching, with 3 runs the most scored on them in the four wins. Vargas hopes to keep it going against the Dodgers. For the Dodgers, they’ll go with fellow lefty, Rich Hill. Head below for our free Mets vs. Dodgers pick and the rest of our writeup.

N.Y. Mets vs. L.A. Dodgers Pick

Jason Vargas (5-8, 6.56 ERA) vs. Rich Hill (6-5, 3.59 ERA)

The Dodgers have gone 8-2 in their last ten games, so despite the loss yesterday, they’ve been playing good baseball overall. The offense just happened to run into the best pitcher in the majors a night ago. Vargas is not the best pitcher by any stretch of the imagination, but he has been pitching at a high-level lately. He goes into tonight with an ERA of 1.62 and 0.90 WHIP in his last three starts.

However, the bigger picture would suggest that it might have just been off nights for those offenses. Overall, Vargas has a 6.56 ERA and 1.57 WHIP this year. He’s been getting shelled on the road, too. Vargas has produced a 7.36 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, and .383 OBA away from Citi Field in 2018. The Dodgers are hitting .317 with a .358 OBP against Vargas in 63 at-bats.

Rich Hill has been more than serviceable for the Dodgers. When he isn’t fighting a blister on his finger, he can be a pretty productive hurler. Hill has been fantastic against the Mets, as they’re hitting just .192 with 2 long balls in 52 at-bats. Hill has consistently provided positive results this season, and has allowed 2 or less runs in seven of his last nine starts. The Mets’ offense will likely be kept at bay by Hill, while the offense breaks out against Vargas who has been pitching over his head recently. I like a 6-3 or 6-2 win for the Dodgers, as they respond after a discouraging performance last night.

The Bet: DODGERS -1.5 (-110)

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.