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Mets vs. Mariners MLB Pick – July 28th

A rare trip out to Seattle for the Mets, as they engage in an interleague contest on the west coast. The last time the Mets were in Seattle was back in 2008. R.A. Dickey was just emerging as a Met back then. Not much has changed for either team, other than the Mets enjoying a brief stint of success, the Mets and Mariners have been one in the same. Average, vanilla, and just below the point of being a meaningful team. The Mariners sat on their pitching, and finally made a move when they signed Robinson Cano in 2014. You haven’t heard too much about him, but that’s what happens when you leave a team like the Yankees and go to the Mariners.

Cano has been a mixed bag in Seattle, and he didn’t start to live up to expectations until last season. He went deep 39 times, a career-high, and is on pace to eclipse 30 home runs again in 2017. Offensively, the team has improved, they no longer have to win 2-1 and 3-1 games. However, they may have wanted to get the offense going when Felix Hernandez was in his prime. King Felix is entering a regression stage after a twelve-year career, just when the Mariners’ bats become reasonable.

The Mariners come in after a 4-0 loss to the Red Sox, a game that sent them to below .500 again. They will look to make a push for a wildcard over the next two months. However, I think they’d have to add another arm to become a serious postseason contender. The ceiling is sky high for James Paxton, but he’s the only one I really trust as a lockdown hurler in the rotation.

Felix has been pitching better of late, but he’s been wild and inconsistent for the most part. Much of the same for the Mets, who are feeling the impact of only one competent pitcher. Jacob deGrom is the lone survivor, while ace Noah Syndergaard is still trying to find his way back from injury. Then, there was the Matt Harvey incident, including his inability to pitch. Once a strong suit of this team, is now a major liability. Rafael Montero will take the start for the Mets, while the Mariners will counter with Ariel Miranda.

N.Y. Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Pick

Rafael Montero (1-7, 5.19 ERA) vs. Ariel Miranda (7-4, 4.30 ERA)

Thanks to issues in the rotation, Montero is getting an opportunity up in the majors. The Mets would rather have him in the minors, but their hand is forced at the moment. Montero, in his fourth-year, owns a record of 1-7 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. In nine appearances last season, Montero posted a 8.05 ERA, so it’s an improvement? The Mets’ bullpen hasn’t been helping the starters much either, as they own a 4.81 ERA for 26th in the majors. Zack Wheeler just went on the DL, so he may be around for a little while longer. Also, their bullpen has an ERA of 6.03 on the road.

3-4 in their last four games, the Mariners can’t afford many more stretches like that. Miranda has been okay, with a 4.30 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. His problems stem from his inability to keep the ball down, allowing 22 thus far in 2017. Miranda has a 7.31 ERA in his last three, conceding 4 deep balls. The Mets are 47-22 to the OVER, which has proven to be one of the best bets in baseball this season. It looks like a good pick for Friday night in Seattle.

PICK: OVER 9 (-115)

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