Mets vs. Marlins MLB Pick – May 19th

The New York Mets are facing a sweep at the hands of the worst team in Major League Baseball. The Mets fell to the Marlins again on Saturday, as they took a 2-0 loss behind a tremendous performance by Pablo Lopez. The Mets got just 1 hit against Lopez and the Marlins’ bullpen. They were held off the scoreboard a day after losing, 8-6, on Friday.

That was with Jacob deGrom on the mound, who took a beating against the worst offense in baseball. Robinson Cano was perhaps the biggest loser of the night after he walked to 1st base on a double-play ball. Cano was called out and he said that he thought there was 2 outs on the board. I don’t think that changes much, he should have finished the play regardless.

It doesn’t help that Cano has been performing below expectations and burning a hole in the Mets’ wallet. The Mets made an effort to bolster their offense in the offseason and landed on Cano. I didn’t think it was the best deal for the Mets then and it doesn’t look good now.

They likely could have found something cheaper who was hungrier to play well. With Cano, he’s checking out while collecting a nice paycheck. He had his lazy moments when he was in his prime with the Yankees, but you have to work for it a little more at an older age.

At 20-24, the Mets are slowly falling backwards after a pretty nice start in April. The Phillies and Braves are pulling away from the pack, but it’s still not even the end of May so let’s keep things in perspective. Meanwhile, the Marlins are 12-31 despite beating the Mets the last two games.

So, this is going to be fairly embarrassing if the Mets take a sweep against the Marlins. Pressure is going to be on Noah Syndergaard to get the Mets out of this slump. Dating back to their last game against the Nationals, the Mets are on a four-game losing streak. Head below for our free Mets vs. Marlins pick.

N.Y. Mets vs. Miami Marlins Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Mets -210/Marlins +180
  • O/U: 7

Pitching Matchup:

  • Noah Syndergaard (3-3, 4.74 ERA)
  • Sandy Alcantara (1-4, 5.11 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

You can’t get swept by the Marlins and expect to be playing fall baseball. It’s only one series, but for a fringe team like the Mets, this kind of series adds up at the end of the season. If they keep playing like this, it won’t be long before they turn into a dumpster fire and no longer a team on the fringe. Syndergaard has been looking better, but is still well off pace of where he must be. deGrom has been hit and miss, so it hasn’t been smooth sailing for what was a reliable rotation, either.

Syndergaard owns an ERA of 4.74 and 1.23 WHIP overall, though has been sharper with a 2.35 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in his previous three outings. In his most recent start, Syndergaard held the Nationals to 4 hits and 2 runs across 8 innings of work.

The Mets’ pitching shouldn’t have had issues against the Marlin offense with deGrom on the mound either, but they clearly did with 8 runs allowed in total. Steven Matz was on shaky ground with 5 hits and 2 runs allowed in 3.2 innings, but the bullpen kept the Mets in the game yesterday.

In 58 at-bats, the Marlins have failed to hit a long ball against Syndergaard. They are hitting .241 with a .279 OBP and haven’t been able to bring home many runs against him. As a team, they’ve notched 4 RBI’s against Syndergaard during that time. Sandy Alcantara enters struggling in his previous three outings.

He goes into Sunday with a 6.19 ERA, 1.88 WHIP, and .408 OBA in his last three. He’s allowed a total of 13 runs in his last 16 innings on the bump. The Mets have an impressive .368 OBP and 2 home runs against Alcantara in 49 at-bats. I think they show up in an attempt to avoid embarrassment against the Marlins on Sunday. A 5-2 or 4-2 win for the Mets to salvage something out of this series in Miami looks good.

The Bet
METS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.