Mets vs. Nationals MLB Pick – September 3rd

The New York Mets put on a dominant show yesterday afternoon over the Washington Nationals. The Mets took a 7-0 lead in the 4th inning and rode the hot arm of Noah Syndergaard to an easy win. Syndergaard went seven innings, allowing just 3 hits and no runs. He also got into the double digits with ten strikeouts. The only runs the Nationals managed to record were with 2 outs in the 9th inning. Asdrubal Cabrera ruined the day of UNDER bettors, as he connected for the meaningless deep shot. Other than padding his stats, the home run was window dressing for a 7-3 loss.

In any event, the Nationals are sitting pretty with a record of 77-59. Catching the Braves is going to be difficult, but they’re in a good spot to be hosting the AL Wild Card Game. They’re 3.5 games up on the Cubs in that respect, while Phillies are 6 games behind the Nationals. Barring a September collapse, the Nationals are going to be playing in the Wild Card Game. The most realistic question at the moment is whether the game is going to be in Washington or Chicago.

Despite throttling the Nats yesterday, the Mets are in an uncomfortable position. They’re 4 games back and need to find the hot stroke that carried them to a record of 15-1 in sixteen games. Part of the reason they were so hot was because of their opponents.

They didn’t get the stingiest schedule then and it’s going to be tougher in September with their backs up against a wall. Good start against the Nats on Monday, though. We get a Cy Young showdown on Tuesday between Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer. DeGrom is the defending NL Cy Young winner, while Scherzer has already won three Cy Youngs, one with the Tigers and two with the Nats. With Hyun-jin Ryu struggling recently, the door is open again for deGrom and Scherzer to seize the moment. Head below for our free Mets vs. Nationals pick.

N.Y. Mets vs. Washington Nationals Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Nationals -133/Mets +113
  • O/U: 7.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Jacob deGrom (8-8, 2.66 ERA)
  • Max Scherzer (9-5, 2.46 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

It didn’t look like anyone was going to be able to touch Ryu. He was rolling and not allowing any offense when he was on the hill. However, he looked human against the Rockies in Colorado, and then in his last three outings, he’s been out of sorts. If he doesn’t figure it out in September, the Cy Young race is going to be interesting between Ryu, deGrom, and Scherzer. A strong performance for deGrom and Scherzer would certainly help their cause.

DeGrom hit some potholes early in the season and it looked like that it was going to be impossible for him to defend his Cy Young. That situation has turned now, as deGrom has stepped up and Ryu has been struggling. DeGrom enters Tuesday with an ERA of 2.66 and 1.02 WHIP on the season.

He’s looked sharp with a 2.57 ERA and 0.71 WHIP in his previous three contests, including 16 out of 18 games with 2 runs allowed or less. In his most recent showing, he allowed 4 runs against the Cubs for his worst outing since May 17th against the Marlins. Expect deGrom to fire back with a solid performance against the Nats here with the stakes high. He’s held them to just a .191 batting average in past starts against Washington. DeGrom may be the underdog here, but it’s not because of his arm.

The same goes for Scherzer against the Mets. He’s been excellent holding the Mets to a .199 average in 331 at-bats. In his previous 17 outings, Scherzer hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs, so that’s certainly Cy Young worthy.

If Scherzer stays the course and Ryu continues to struggle down the stretch, he’s going to be on a solid path for the fourth Cy Young of his career. This is an All-Star showdown between deGrom and Scherzer. Expect runs to be a premium, while deGrom and Scherzer duel. The UNDER looks like the play here.

The Bet
UNDER 7.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.