Mets vs. Padres MLB Pick – May 6th

The New York Mets head to the west coast where they search for better results after dropping three in a row to the Milwaukee Brewers. The offense went silent for the Mets, as they struggled to scratch runs across the plate. They managed just 6 runs in three games, reminding people a bit of what the Mets were like last season.

Fans don’t want to be reminded, but the only thing keeping them from going to the postseason was the dreadful offense. Pitching did all they could, especially Jacob deGrom who made it look easy in 2018. He was rewarded with a Cy Young for his effort last season even though his team didn’t help out at the plate. There was some debate whether deGrom deserved the award after finishing with a record of 10-9. However, the best pitcher in the National League ended up getting the top prize.

His ERA of 1.70 and record of 10-9 just goes to show you how the offense didn’t bother to show up for deGrom. It seems like every time they saw his name on the docket, they decided to take the day off and let deGrom try and pitch a shutout. His last outing felt a lot like that, as deGrom gave up no runs and just 3 hits, yet the Mets still lost by a score of 1-0.

It was by far his best performance of the season, as he’s looked more human than his godlike self from 2018. deGrom found the touch against the Reds, but it looked a lot like last season when his offense couldn’t buy a run. They might find it difficult to score with rookie Chris Paddack pitching opposite deGrom tonight. Paddock has looked like the most impressive rookie pitcher thus far in 2019. We’ll see if he can keep it going against the Mets in San Diego. Head below for our free Mets vs. Padres pick.

N.Y. Mets vs. San Diego Padres Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Mets -122/Padres +102
  • O/U: N/A

Pitching Matchup:

  • Jacob deGrom (2-3, 3.82 ERA)
  • Chris Paddack (2-1, 1.91 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Chris Paddack has been a glaring bright spot for the Padres this season. The 23-year-old has been fantastic with an ERA of 1.91 to open the season. San Diego is being careful with him, though, and not giving him a huge workload. Fatiguing a young pitcher’s arm would be the worst possible scenario, but it’s kind of tough to pull him out of games when he is pitching this well. After hitting a max of 5.1 innings in his first three outings, Paddack has seen 19 innings in his last three outings. Along with Matt Strahm, the Padres hope the rotation is in pretty good hands for the future.

Paddack has allowed 2 or less runs in five of six starts and hasn’t given up more than 3 runs thus far. He has been especially good at limiting base runners at home. Note that Paddack holds a stunning 0.50 WHIP and .159 OBA in San Diego. Pretty impressive stuff from a 23-year-old who does not look fazed on the bump against major league hitters. The Mets’ offense has taken a dive recently, with just 1.4 runs per game in their last five games. That’s like the same team we saw from 2018.

Perfect timing for deGrom, who notoriously got zero run support from his teammates a season ago. deGrom was on shaky ground until he pitched a gem against the Reds. He didn’t allow a run in 7 innings. His most productive games have come on the road, where he owns an ERA of 1.50 and 1.06 WHIP heading into Monday. The Padres are hitting .236 with just 2 long balls against deGrom in 72 appearances at the plate. Note that they are 25th in the majors with only 3.89 runs scored per contest. This should be a game that highlights the strengths of deGrom and Paddack. A 3-2 or 4-2 final score looks like a good possibility, with the UNDER a solid bet in San Diego on Monday.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.