Mets vs. Phillies MLB Pick – August 30th

It might be new to others, but for Mets’ fans they’ve seen this same story played out before. After storming back to sneak up in the National League, the Mets have suddenly ran into a wall and are looking to start a new winning streak going into September. The Mets were beating up bad teams during their 15-1 romp. The only notable team they beat during that run was the Washington Nationals.

Since getting blocked from sweeping the Nationals, the Mets have looked like a very ordinary team. Since beating the Twins on July 17th, the Nationals and Indians are the only series they’ve won against contending teams. Everyone else are in the basement.

The Mets head to Philadelphia for a touch matchup against the Phillies this weekend. They did not make the most of their series at home against the Cubs, a team who are notoriously bad on the road. That could come back to haunt them by the end of September.

This was on the heels of a terrible effort against the Braves at Citi Field in which they got swept. Variance can be an ugly thing for a team who were on fire. They have a whole month to get back on track. There aren’t any mulligans after this, though.

The next week is going to be difficult on the Mets. They are in Philadelphia and Washington, and then the Phillies again for next weekend. Then a four-game series against the Diamondbacks is not a given. In two weeks, the Dodgers are in town for a three-game series over the weekend.

With those games in mind, it’s not going to be an easy month on the Mets. We are going to find out if they are for real or not. It’s going to be an important month for the Phillies as well. They are the first team out in the National League. Zack Wheeler is scheduled to start for the Mets, while Aaron Nola is expected for the Phillies. Head below for our free Mets vs. Phillies pick.

N.Y. Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Phillies -135/Mets +115
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Zack Wheeler (9-7, 4.46 ERA)
  • Aaron Nola (12-4, 3.53 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

The Mets do not get the benefit of getting to play a pushover this weekend. There won’t be any gimme wins on their schedule for a while. With that in mind, the Mets have to find a way to get focused in Philadelphia against a Phillies team searching for the same goal. Zack Wheeler will asked to put in a solid night in this one on the road. Wheeler has been pitching like a guy the Mets should have traded recently.

He’s a slight bit overrated, but is capable of turning it on any given night. Having said that, Wheeler has been stuck in a funk recently. He has posted an ERA of 6.75 in his last three contests. Along with the rest of his teammates, they’ve been struggling of late. That goes for the pitching staff and offense.

Wheeler enters with a 4.58 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 78.2 innings pitched on the road. The Phils have solid power numbers against Wheeler, as they’ve connected for 7 home runs and 22 runs in 185 plate appearances. In his most recent showing against the Phillies, Wheeler was tattooed for 8 hits and 6 earned runs in 5 innings. The Phillies went on for an 8-3 win.

He is a tough matchup against Nola in this contest. Nola has been pitching well with a 2.57 ERA and 0.71 WHIP in his last three outings. He hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in a game since July 28th against the Braves, so it’s been over a month.

Nola has also excelled at home, posting a 2.94 ERA and 1.21 WHIP as opposed to a 4.35 ERA on the road. Also keep in mind that the Mets are hitting just .215 against Nola in 209 at-bats. It’s likely going to get worse before it gets better for the Mets. Look for the Phillies to down the Mets in a huge game at Citizens Bank Park.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.