New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick – August 31st

The MLB is set up with a total of sixteen games on the board for another exciting Saturday of baseball. One of the top matchups on the board will be a divisional rivalry game between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies. This should be an exciting game as both teams are in the hunt for a wild card spot. This game will start at around 4:05 PM Eastern time on Saturday afternoon.

New York has put up a record of 68-66 to this point in the season, which has them in fourth place of the NL East. The Mets are five games out of the final wild card spot. New York has lost six of their last seven games and will need to build up a winning streak if they want to get back into the postseason picture. The Mets will look to win their second of this series on Saturday.

The Phillies are currently in third place of the NL East with a record of 69-64 to this point in the season. Philadelphia is three and a half games out of the wild card spot. The Phillies have lost four of their last seven games. Philadelphia lost their last home game against the Mets, but will look to bounce back with a win in the second game of this series.

These two teams are really close in the standings as they try and make a push to make the playoffs in the last month of the season. These two teams match up really well with each other, which makes me believe that this will be a solid game. As the season nears a close, I expect games like this one to pick up in intensity.

Previous Matchups

The first two series between these two teams was early in the season in mid-April. The Phillies hosted the first series, but dropped the first game 7-6 in the eleventh inning. Philadelphia bounced back with a 14-3 win and a 3-2 win before heading to New York. The Mets took the first two games of the next series, but dropped the final game as these two teams started out 3-3 against each other to start this season.

The third series of this season was between June 24-27 in Philadelphia. The Phillies rode a 19 hit performance to a 13-7 win in the first game of this series. Maikel Franco and Brad Miller both had sixth inning homers to help Philadelphia win 7-5 in the second game. Jay Bruce had a walk off RBI in the third game to give the Phillies a 5-4 win, while Jean Segura hit a walk off three run home run in the ninth inning of the final game to help the Phillies win 6-3.

The fourth series of the season shifted back to New York, but the Mets continued to struggle against Philadelphia. The Mets and the Phillies were tied 2-2 going into the ninth, but Philadelphia had five runs in the ninth to secure a 7-2 win in the first matchup. New York bounced back with a 6-5 win in the second game but fell short with an 8-3 loss to end this series.

Last night’s matchup between the Mets and the Phillies opened up this three game series. This game was really close early as it stayed scoreless until the bottom of the tenth, when Philadelphia hit a sac fly. The Mets bounced back with five runs in the eighth and the ninth inning to pull away with an 11-5 win.

Hitting

Pete Alonso has had a great season for New York as he has racked up 129 hits, 42 home runs, 101 RBI’s and an OPS of .952. Amed Rosario has earned 147 hits, 12 homers and 58 RBI’s, while Jeff McNeil has 137 hits, 16 home runs and 57 RBI’s. Wilson Ramos has 117 hits and 13 home runs on the season. Michael Conforto has put up 119 hits, 28 homers and 79 RBI’s. J.D. Davis and Todd Frazier have double-digit homers as well on the season.

Cesar Hernandez has 141 hits and 57 RBI’s for the Phillies so far this season. Jean Segura has earned 139 hits, 11 homers and 53 RBI’s. J.T. Realmuto has put up 130 hits, 20 homers and 71 RBI’s, while Bryce Harper has 122 hits, 28 home runs and 95 RBI’s. Rhys Hoskins has 112 hits, 25 homers and 75 RBI’s. Scott Kingery has 99 hits and 15 home runs.

These two teams have solid depth throughout their hitting lineup, but the Phillies have been slightly better throughout this season. Both of these lineups match well with each other though as they go pretty deep. I like both teams to try and get an early deep to try and get off to a strong start on Saturday afternoon.

Pitchers

The Mets will have Steven Matz start on the mound for Saturday. Matz has put up a record of 8-8 through 26 games this season. In those games, he has an ERA of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.298. Matz’s last start came against the Atlanta Braves, where he allowed two hits and one run through six innings, but still took the loss.

Jason Vargas will be the starter for Philadelphia on Saturday afternoon. Vargas came over from the Mets at the deadline and will now try to knock off his former team. He has put up a 6-6 record through 24 games this season, with an ERA of 4.09 and a 1.273 WHIP. Vargas’ last start was against the Pittsburgh Pirates, where he allowed seven hits and four runs through six innings in a no decision.

These two pitchers’ stat lines are really close together. Both Matz and Vargas have an even record through their starts and have put up really similar ERA’s and WHIP’s. I expect these two pitchers to go back and forth throughout the early stages of this game. Vargas may be playing with a bit more emotion as he tries to knock off his former employer.

Pick Overview

New York pulled off an impressive victory in last night’s game against the Phillies, but I like Philadelphia to earn a win on Saturday. The Phillies have been the better team this season and with Jason Vargas starting against his former team, I believe he will put up a really strong night. Both teams have struggled recently, but I don’t think Philadelphia will lose back to back games at home.

BetOnline has New York listed as a -108 against the money line on Saturday afternoon. The Mets should not be favored in this game in my opinion, even if it is by a small amount. Philadelphia took a loss last night, but I believe that they win the second game of this series. This makes the Phillies my pick of the night.

My Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.