Mets vs. Phillies MLB Pick – June 25th

The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies got into a back-and-forth affair on Monday night. The Mets took an early 2-0 lead, but the Phillies fought back in the bottom of the 1st with 3 runs. That lead was short lived, though, as the Mets battled right back. This seesaw battle continued until the Phillies broke through with 7 runs between the 5th and 6th innings. The Phillies can’t be having these kinds of games from their pitching, though.

They need to dig their foot in deep and start playing like a contender, because this isn’t it. Having to get into a score fest against the Mets is not playing like a contender. If this was against a team like the Yankees, then okay understandable, the Yanks are going to do that to a lot of teams. However, it’s imperative not to allow bad to average offenses to get into games like that.

In any event, the Phillies got the win and were able to end a long and painful seven-game losing streak. It included getting swept by the Nationals and then by the Marlins. Getting the bats mashing last night had to feel good for them. Especially Bryce Harper who had a pretty nice night at the office. His offensive output must be more consistent than we’ve seen thus far this season. The Braves are just going to continue to add to their lead if he doesn’t get his swing going in the second-half.

The Phillies advanced to 40-38 on the season and held off falling to .500 on Monday. This puts them 6 games behind the Braves, which of course, is nothing to brag about. $330 million dollars doesn’t quite get you what it used to in the past. Jake Arrieta will get the nod for the Phillies in this one, while rookie Walker Lockett gets another spot start in the absence of Noah Syndergaard. Get our free Mets vs. Phillies pick.

N.Y. Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Phillies -140/Mets +120
  • O/U: 10.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Walker Lockett (0-1, 23.41 ERA)
  • Jake Arrieta (6-6, 4.12 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

The Phillies need a guy like Jake Arrieta to get his act together and take the reins of the rotation. Aaron Nola is the No. 1 guy on the depth chart and he has a 4.55 ERA. Their No. 2 pitcher, Arrieta, enters Tuesday with an ERA of 4.12 and 1.39 WHIP, so their issues go beyond Bryce Harper not living up to his contract. Arrieta looked sharp in his last outing, though, as he allowed just 2 hits and 1-run in 6 innings against the Nationals.

It can’t get much better than that for Arrieta, which happened to be his performance of the season. He has four 1-run games this season, though it’s the first he didn’t allow more than 2 hits. After getting drilled for 10 runs in 10.2 innings, he settled down to allow 4 runs in his previous 12 innings of work. Don’t expect Arrieta to be perfect in this matchup, but the Phillies’ offense is expected to give Walker Lockett a lot of headaches on Tuesday.

Lockett is up in the major leagues in replacement of Syndergaard. He may be able to return on Sunday, as the Mets float him around as trade bait. Lockett has made only one appearance in the majors and it didn’t go so swimmingly. He lasted just 2.1 innings at Wrigley Field, allowing 5 hits and 6 runs in the process. Lockett made three starts last season and didn’t play well then, either. He got tagged for an ERA of 9.60, with 16 earned runs allowed in 16 innings. Arrieta may not be perfect today, but I see Lockett running into problems against a Philly offense who woke up a night ago. The Phillies hit in waves and it’s best to get on them when they’re showing some pop.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.