Mets vs. Phillies MLB Pick – October 1st

It’s the final day of the regular season, and it will be one of the least eventful season finales in recent memory. MLB might be longing for the insanity that sparked the wildcard revolution, the desperate recreation of the Rays magic in 2010, but alas, this regular season goes out with a whimper, not a bang.

The Rockies clinched the last available playoff spot yesterday, despite losing to the Dodgers and Clayton Kershaw, thanks to a three-run eighth inning rally by the Cardinals to vanquish their division foes postseason dreams. The 7-6 defeat ended the season for the Brewers, but Milwaukee can certainly hold their heads up high and their fans should be pleased with a season that certainly outpaced all expectations.

We got a winner yesterday with the Dodgers, but I’m not bragging. I generally as a rule to keep the column interesting, keep it to favorites of no more than -150. But with the dearth of legitimate games yesterday, the lines were pretty slim pickings.

Same case today – most of these games matter little, so let’s call any play today a conservative one as we preserve the bankroll for the upcoming postseason excitement.

Today’s MLB Pick:

New York Mets +110 at Philadelphia Phillies -120 (Total: 9)
Noah Syndergaard (1-2, 3.18 ERA) vs. Nick Pavetta (7-10, 6.26 ERA)

It will be interesting to see how long the Mets leave Syndergaard on the mound today. He is making just his second appearance since his April 30th injury. His lost season is perfectly emblematic of the Mets year, but perhaps they are trying to leave a glimmer of “maybe next year” optimism with the fans today by trotting out Thor for a season-ending completely meaningless game.

Opposing him with be Nick Pavetta. The 24-year old is coming off his best outing of the season, allowing no runs over six innings against the Braves. He has back-to-back solid outings and the Phillies have won five of his last six starts. But in three starts against the Mets this season, Pivetta is 1-1 with a 6.48 ERA, surrendering 18 hits to Mets batters in 16 2/3 innings.

It’s hard to see Syndergaard going more than five innings or so tonight, but his career splits suggest he will at least exit with a lead, which makes the Mets a decent value play today. The fireballer is 4-1 in five career starts against the Phillies, boasting a 1.89 ERA.

I’ll take the Mets for my final regular season play of the year – and will be looking forward to Zack Greinke getting the ball Wednesday night against Colorado.

Today’s MLB Pick: NEW YORK METS TO WIN +110

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