Mets vs. Phillies MLB Pick – September 17th

The New York Mets stay in the area on the east coast, as they go from Boston to Philadelphia on Monday. They came a run short against the Red Sox yesterday, with the Red Sox getting a sac fly in the bottom of the 8th to go ahead, 4-3. That was all they needed, as Chris Sale went a strong three innings on the bump. That’s all the Red Sox wanted to see from him. They are being cautious in his return from a shoulder injury.

He threw an inning in his first outing back, and then the Red Sox gave him an extra two innings on Sunday. Jacob deGrom got tagged for 3 runs in one inning, which ended up being the deciding factor. He knew it was going to tough to get to .500 on the year with Sale on the opposite side and this being the Red Sox, but it’s frustrating nonetheless. The Red Sox magic number is now at 2.

The Phillies could have gotten a bit closer to the Braves on Sunday, but they lost to the Marlins, 6-4. Atlanta lost by the same score as well. The Braves’ magic number is at 9, so there is a small window open there, but it’s highly unlikely the Phillies cook something up.

Maybe they make it interesting in the final few days of the regular season, though that’s a big maybe. The Mets have been out of the equation way back in May. They have a rotation that basically every team in the majors would dream of having, but their efforts have gone to waste. deGrom isn’t the only one, Syndergaard and Wheeler have been performing well, too. Wheeler will get the nod for the Mets, while the Phillies will opt for Jake Arrieta at home. Head below for our free Mets vs. Phillies pick.

N.Y. Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick

Zack Wheeler (11-7, 3.23 ERA) vs. Jake Arrieta (10-9, 3.66 ERA)

With deGrom pitching as well as he has, a guy like Wheeler has gotten overlooked in the rotation. Like I’ve said, an average offense would have been fine enough to reach the postseason for this team. I imagine if they were in that position, they would have added another arm to give them four pitchers who could go the distance.

Wheeler enters with an ERA of 3.23 and 1.23 WHIP. He’s coming off a flawless performance against the Marlins, holding them to just 4 hits and no runs. He enters with a strong ERA of 1.64 and 0.59 WHIP in his last three outings. The Dodgers were the only team that got to him for 3 runs. The Phillies are hitting .268 against Wheeler, with Cesar Hernandez leading the way with a .636 average in 11 at-bats.

Arrieta has struggled lately with an ERA of 6.46 and 1.43 WHIP in his last three. He looked fine against the Nationals in his last outing, but a long ball did him in which amounted to 3 earned runs allowed. He allowed 3 hits and 3 runs across 5 innings of work. He has an impressive history against the Mets, holding them to a .215 batting average and just 2 long balls in 130 at-bats. Todd Frazier is responsible for both home runs.

Frazier is one of the few bats in the Mets’ lineup that has deep ball potential. Arrieta owns an ERA of 3.40 at home compared to 3.90 on the road. The Phils are 45-30 at home, while the Mets are 36-37 on the road. I think after getting matched up with the Red Sox in Boston over the weekend, the last thing the Mets wanted to do is head back on the road to open the week. There is a small light at the end of the tunnel for the Phillies, but they need to get hot now. At least on Monday night, they should be able to get the job done.

The Bet: PHILLIES (-115)

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.