Mets vs. Pirates MLB Pick – August 2nd

The New York Mets finished off the Chicago White Sox with a dominant performance by Zack Wheeler yesterday afternoon. After all of the discussion of the Mets selling their rotation at the deadline, notably Wheeler, the Mets did not sell at all. In fact, they ended up buying and trading for Marcus Stroman.

They got quite the deal for Stroman, not having to part with any top-100 prospects. You would have thought the Blue Jays were going to get at least one top-100 prospect somewhere for Stroman, but they ultimately did business with the Mets for two pitching prospects who may or may not become anything.

The Mets won a 4-0 decision behind Wheeler, which was good for their 53rd win of the season. They were winners in three of three games to complete the sweep of the struggling White Sox. While the White Sox are struggling, the Mets are getting hot at the right time.

The Mets are on a seven-game winning streak going into Pittsburgh to take on the Pirates. If you want cold, you can find it in Pittsburgh. The Bucs have been struggling mightily and are well out of postseason contention now. Pittsburgh are losers in 10 of their last 11 games. Their only win was a 11-4 final against the Reds. However, the Pirates still lost two of three outings in that series.

Following their most recent failures, the Pirates are more than ten games back of the Cardinals for 1st in the NL Central. In other words, the lights are just about out and the only thing to look forward to is offseason vacation. Trading for Chris Archer was a huge miss, and the rotation as a whole, have been stuck in mud this season. Trevor Williams will get a crack at the Mets, while Steven Matz will counter. Head below for our free Mets vs. Pirates pick.

N.Y. Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Mets -112/Pirates -108
  • O/U: 9

Pitching Matchup:

  • Steven Matz (6-6, 4.32 ERA)
  • Trevor Williams (3-4, 4.87 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

The Mets are going to make a run at the postseason, and by bringing Stroman in, they’re apparently pretty confident in their chances. Being confident doesn’t always equate to being realistic, though. They’re 4 games back, so within striking distance with about a couple of months left in the regular season. I don’t know if Stroman alone puts them over the top to get there, but it’s going to be interesting.

Steven Matz avoided getting traded to a new city and will be in the saddle this evening in Pittsburgh. Matz has been pitching well this season, especially recently where he’s been playing his best ball of the year. He enters with an ERA of 1.89 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in his last three trips to the mound. Matz is coming off a complete game against the Bucs, going the distance at Citi Field for just 5 runs allowed and no runs on the board. He’s allowed only 4 runs in his last 20 innings.

The Pirates haven’t been able to generate much offense against Matz in his career. They are hitting just .188 with 3 runs scored in 69 at-bats. Gregory Polanco, who is on the IL currently, is the only Pirate on the roster who has hit a long ball against Matz. Also note the Pirates have not been nearly as good as lefties as right-handed pitching. They’re hitting .239 against lefties and .271 vs righties.

Conversely, Trevor Williams has been having a heck of a time trying to get his pitching straight. He goes into Friday with a 6.23 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in his last three outings. Williams has struggled at home, posting a 5.71 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 34.2 innings of play. Matz hasn’t been great on the road, but his most recent outings have been much better and Williams hasn’t been consistent at home to begin with. With that in mind, the Mets have value here at this price on Friday night at PNC Park.

The Bet
METS
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.