Mets vs. Red Sox MLB Pick – September 16th

Jacob deGrom and Chris Sale will meet in a heavyweight bout of Cy Young candidates, one in the National League and the other in the American League. deGrom heads into Sunday with a crazy record below .500 at 8-9. It’s laughable a pitcher of his stature has a record under .500, but playing on the Mets can do that for you. The Cy Young wouldn’t even be a question if he had a better looking record. However, there is some doubt if a pitcher with a poor record like that deserves top honors in the National League.

It’s not his fault he has gotten poor run support from his teammates. There are some that believe he shouldn’t win it because of his record. He’s done all he can, including getting some hits at the plate while everyone in the lineup can’t hit. deGrom isn’t the only one in the rotation who deserves better. They have a stacked rotation that could bring a lot of average offenses to the postseason. The Mets have played better on offense in the second-half, but it couldn’t have gotten much worse.

At first glance, this looks like a showdown between deGrom and Sale. However, it’s a tease more than anything, because Sale is not going to get a normal workload. He made his return from the DL in his last outing and pitched an inning just to get a feel for things. Sale will go longer on Sunday, but he is still going to be pulled early, maybe after the 3rd inning or so, regardless whether he’s pitching well or not. The Red Sox at this point are just trying to keep him healthy for the postseason. Throwing his shoulder out when they have the AL East wrapped up would be devastating. The Red Sox are coming off a 5-3 win yesterday after an 8-0 loss on Friday. Head below for our free Mets vs. Red Sox pick.

N.Y. Mets vs. Boston Red Sox Pick

Jacob deGrom (8-9, 1.71 ERA) vs. Chris Sale (12-4, 1.96 ERA)

The numbers look flawless for both starting pitchers this afternoon at Fenway Park. They are two of the best the game has to offer, but the objective for the Red Sox in this game is to give Sale a little bit of work to stay loose and fresh. They’re being extremely cautious, as was the case in his last start against the Blue Jays. He was out there for an inning, throwing 26 pitches to get 3 outs. Sale hasn’t allowed a run in 25 innings, dating back to July 11th. He has a perfect ERA of 0.00 with a 0.58 WHIP in his previous three appearances. The majority of the pitches in this one is going to go to their bullpen, though. The Red Sox bullpen has posted an ERA of 3.53.

This can be a standout game for deGrom to get the Cy Young. If he pitches well at Fenway against the Red Sox, his case to win the award just even better. deGrom enters with a 1.71 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 2018. He hasn’t allowed more than 2 runs in eight outings, going back to July 28th. deGrom has surrendered more than 3 runs on only one occasion in 2018 and that’s all the way back on April 10th at the beginning of the year.

The Red Sox are a tough lineup to handle, but deGrom is more than capable of dazzling again on Sunday. Alex Cora already said he’s more concerned with getting out of this game healthy than Sale shutting the Mets down and going deep into the contest. deGrom is going to care about this game, and his teammates should care because there is a Cy Young on the line. They should be able to keep it close against the Red Sox on Sunday.

The Bet: METS +1.5 (-120)

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.