Mets vs. Rockies MLB Pick – September 17th

The Colorado Rockies are beginning to put a nice run together, but it’s too little too late in Denver. The 66-85 Rockies enter Tuesday on a four-game winning streak and are 6-1 in their last seven games. That sounds nice and all, but they still have an overall record of 66-85 and are well out of the postseason picture. Going back a bit further than seven games, the Rockies are 22-46 in their last 68 games. In other words, Colorado should have considered getting a run like this going 68 games ago.

For what has been such a downer in 2019, the Rockies would gladly go out on a high note and regroup in the winter. It isn’t like the Rockies don’t have some talent on their team. They have one of the best hitters in baseball, Nolan Arenado, so there aren’t many excuses for falling this hard after going to the NLDS less than a year ago. Poor pitching has been the primary culprit for their struggles during this campaign. Fixing the pitching staff in Colorado isn’t a simply chore, though.

Who wants to come and pitch for the Rockies? Denver is a nice place, but it isn’t a nice place to be a pitcher. With the thin air, runs can come in bunches at Coors Field. Attracting top talent to come to the Rockies can be difficult. Then with their young talent, it can take a while to get used to pitching under these conditions. Peter Lambert, one of their top prospects, failed to look impressive in his first season. Kyle Freeland regressing hard put stress on youngsters like Lambert to perform, but it didn’t work out.

The Mets’ postseason chances have taken a dive in Denver. They find themselves fading out of the picture in the National League. Going into Tuesday, the Mets are looking at a 5-game hole behind the Phillies, Brewers, and Cubs. Let’s not turn the lights out on the Mets yet, but we’re getting really close. They absolutely have to come out with a better performance tonight. Marcus Stroman will be responsible for the starting duties, while the Rockies will opt for minor league lifer, Tim Melville. Head below for our free Mets vs. Rockies pick.

N.Y. Mets vs. Colorado Rockies Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Mets -165/Rockies +135
  • O/U: 13.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Marcus Stroman (8-13, 3.35 ERA)
  • Tim Melville (2-2, 5.16 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

For a minute there, the deal for Marcus Stroman made a lot of sense. The Mets were playing competitive baseball around the same time and it looked like they were going to steal a spot in the Wild Card Game. Prior to the trade, the Mets were anticipated to be sellers, but they bought to the surprise of everyone.

They questioned the trade until the Mets started winning games, but here we are again, and it doesn’t look like the best move. The Mets are 5 games back and Stroman hasn’t performed as well in Queens as in Toronto. Nevertheless, Stroman has still been decent and he carries an overall ERA of 3.35 into Tuesday night.

Stroman has been pitching well recently, though. The former Blue Jay has posted an ERA of 1.80 and 1.05 WHIP in his previous three tilts. He is coming off a dominant performance against the Diamondbacks in an 11-1 win blowout. Stroman has looked more comfortable on the road this season, where he owns a 2.60 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. The Rockies have yet to hit a long ball against him in 44 at-bats.

If Stroman has an average night, I think the Mets are still going to be okay, though. Tim Melville is getting thrown out there as a bandage for this starting rotation. At 29 years old, he’s made only eight starts in his major league career. Five being his career-high, which came this year.

He enters with an incredibly shaky ERA of 10.12 and 2.16 WHIP in his previous three outings. Figuring out Coors Field has been difficult for him, as he’s been rocked for a 9.00 ERA and 2.40 WHIP at home. This looks like a mismatch against Stroman in this matchup. The price may not be the cheapest, but I still feel the Mets should be around the -200 mark here, so there is value to be had in this one.

The Bet
METS
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.