Mets vs. Royals MLB Pick – August 16th

The New York Mets woke up in Atlanta last night with a 10-8 win over the Braves. They needed the win to avoid a sweep before heading to Kansas City for a weekend series against the Royals. It wasn’t easy in the end, but they ultimately got the job done. The Braves scored 4 runs in the bottom of the 9th to make it a 10-8 game with the tying run at the plate.

That was as close as the Braves got to the Mets, though. It was an important victory for the Mets, as they risked going on a four-game losing streak immediately after their 15-1 run. Even though they caught fire, the Metropolitans have a lot of work left if they want to be playing in the Wild Card Game.

The Mets are down by 2 games in the National League, with the Phillies, Brewers, and Cubs between them and a wildcard. After doing a fantastic job of coming back to make a case at going to the postseason, it’d sting if the Mets do miss out on going to the Wild Card Game.

They were six games back when they acquired Marcus Stroman, so the front office was confident even at that point. It certainly sent a message throughout the franchise that they weren’t just going to give up on their season. Stroman has been involved in a win in all three of his starts with the Mets. Last night was his best effort as a Met, having allowed 2 earned runs in 5.1 innings of work.

What makes the Mets so dangerous is what they can do with their rotation. After turning to Stroman last night, the Mets go with another above average hurler in Noah Syndergaard against the Royals this evening. Syndergaard has been heating up recently. We’ll see if that continues at Kauffman Stadium in this one. The Royals will counter with veteran Mike Montgomery. Head below for our free Mets vs. Royals pick.

N.Y. Mets vs. K.C. Royals Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Mets -188/Royals +163
  • O/U: 9.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Noah Syndergaard (8-5, 3.89 ERA)
  • Mike Montgomery (2-5, 5.19 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

Overall on the season in 2019, Syndergaard has been a competent pitcher and been than more satisfactory for the Mets. However, he was not pitching at an elite level or expected level of production. I think part of the blame had to be with the distractions in the media regarding trade rumors. There were times, according to national pundits, that it was a lock that Syndergaard was on the way out. There was some smoke with no fire.

Syndergaard has been at his best most recently, as he looks to improve on a 1.27 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in his previous three outings. The pitcher known as Thor, has surrendered less than 3 runs in five of his last six starts. He’s also been better on the road, posting a 3.53 ERA and 1.14 WHIP as opposed to a 4.23 ERA and 1.28 WHIP at Citi Field.

The Royals’ offense has scored 2 runs on Syndergaard in 26 at-bats. I don’t expect the 27th best offense in the majors to be able to do much damage against Syndergaard tonight. He has been playing his best baseball of the year and it likely doesn’t slow down against the Royals.

On the opposite side, Mike Montgomery has been pitching well lately as well. Montgomery enters with a 3.31 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in his last three showings. Not on Syndergaard’s level of productivity, but for his standard, that’s certainly not bad. He must be aware of this lineup who have done extremely well against lefties.

The Mets are hitting .269 against left-handed pitching and Montgomery hasn’t been at his best in KC this year. Montgomery carries a 4.82 ERA and 1.50 WHIP at Kauffman Stadium into Friday night. Prior to being traded by the Cubs, Montgomery posted an ERA of 5.67 in 27 innings out of the bullpen. He’s been better with the Royals, but not spectacularly better with a 4.63 ERA and 1-3 record. Look for the Mets to open up a lead and get out of Friday night with a win by 2 or more runs.

The Bet
METS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.