Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves – MLB April 13

7:20 p.m. ET – Marlins at Braves (-170) O/U: 7.5

The 3-6 Marlins stay in Atlanta for Game Two of a four-game set on Tuesday night against the 4-6 Braves. The first game of this early season series between two 2020 playoff teams came down to the wire. Miami trailed 3-1 in the eighth inning on Monday night before a Garrett Cooper double tied the game and ultimately led to extra innings.

Cooper played the hero again with the go-ahead RBI single that led the Marlins to a 5-3 win in 10 innings.

About the Marlins

Miami Marlins LogoThe visiting team on Tuesday night has struggled mightily at the plate to open the season, Miami ranks 26th in the MLB in runs scored per game (3.2), 23rd in batting average (.215), and 29th in home runs (4). Due to these troubles, only one of the Marlins’ first nine games has gone over the O/U total.

Starling Marte, acquired at the trade deadline in 2020, has been one of the lone bright spots for the Fish this season, batting .324 and consistently getting on the base paths where he has already picked up two stolen bases this year.

About the Braves

Atlanta Braves LogoWhile Atlanta ranks fourth in home runs this year with 14, it has not translated to runs, where they rank 21st in the league with 3.9 per game. This is in large part due to a team batting average of .206, which ranks 27th in the majors. The Braves are led by popular preseason MVP pick Ronald Acuña Jr., who is currently batting .447 with four home runs and eight RBI.

Atlanta’s other big bats have been struggling early on this season with Marcell Ozuna, Freddie Freeman, and Ozzie Albies all batting under .150 10 games into the season.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Miami Marlins +1½ (-140) +145 O 7½ (-115)
Atlanta Braves -1½ (+120) -170 U 7½ (-105)

The Pitching Matchup

The starting pitcher for Miami will be right-hander Pablo Lopez, who is 0-1 in two starts this season with a 1.54 ERA. Lopez has received zero runs of support so far this season in 11.2 innings on the mound. Toeing the rubber for the Braves will be left-hander Max Fried, who is off to a shaky start this season with a 9.00 ERA in only seven innings of work through two starts. The Nationals roughed him up his last time out for five runs in only two innings of work. The pitching matchup advantage goes to the Marlins as Lopez has opened the season right where he finished off last year when he was mowing the Cubs down in the playoffs. Meanwhile, Fried is struggling to get into any sort of a groove.

Please Note:
This game opened with the Braves as over -180 favorites before being quickly bet down to -170. While the majority of the public are on the Braves, sharp bettors are hammering this number down. Miami is worth a bet at anything over +135 for this game as they currently sit at +145 on the Moneyline.

The Marlins have a very righty heavy lineup that should be able to get to the struggling Fried early and often to break out of their struggles at the dish.

The Bet
Marlins ML

*Odds courtesy of MyBookie

Bonus: Daily Fantasy Player to Watch

Second Baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. (Marlins)
Marlins rookie sensation Jazz Chisholm Jr. is still relatively cheap in the daily fantasy world, and with the contact skills he possesses to go along with his power, he is worth a play tonight against a lefty that is not great against lefty hitters in Fried. The second baseman also is a threat to steal a base every time he gets on base and he should get at least one stolen base tonight to make him worth a cheap add to your daily fantasy lineup.
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Joe Menzer / Author

Joe is an award-winning writer and editor who has covered the NBA, NFL, NASCAR, golf, various collegiate athletics and other sports for newspapers, Turner Sports, Fox Sports and ESPN. He has been on the beat for seven Super Bowls, six Daytona 500s and numerous NBA playoff series and All-Star Games. He once was dispatched to Rome, Italy to spend time with an NBA draft choice who opted to play overseas, after which he produced an award-winning series of stories. He also is passionate about fantasy sports and breaking down games in ways that even novice gamblers can use to make their most intelligent wagering decisions.