Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers – MLB April 27

7:40 p.m. ET – Marlins at Brewers (-160) O/U: 8

The 10-12 Marlins remain in Milwaukee to face the 13-9 Brewers, who sit atop the National League Central division. The Brewers have been successful mostly because of their solid pitching, although their team ERA is actually much higher at home (3.72) than on the road (3.06).

The Marlins put an 8-0 beating on the Brewers on Monday night.

About the Marlins

Miami Marlins LogoLeft fielder Corey Dickerson isn’t hitting with much power, but he did belt his first home run of the season and his first dating back to the 2020 National League Wild Card playoff series on Monday. He also added a single and a double, finishing just a triple shy of batting for the cycle with his third consecutive multi-hit game to bring his team-high batting average to .324.

Center fielder Starling Marte (.316) and first baseman Jesus Aguilar (.292 with three homers, 17 RBI and 11 walks) also are doing their part offensively for the Marlins, but other key players are struggling. That would include right fielder Adam Duvall, who is hitting only .194 although he does have four home runs and 14 RBI. Overall, Miami’s .233 team batting average ranks 13th in the majors.

The pitching staff also has been respectable. The team ERA of 3.52 ranks ninth in the MLB.

About the Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers Logo 101x101Kolton Wong, acquired in the offseason, has been on fire since coming off the injured list. He recorded his fourth consecutive multi-hit game despite Monday’s loss, tying a career high. Wong was batting just .105 when he went on the injured list on April 9 with an oblique strain. He returned to the lineup last Friday and has been smoking hot since.

Going 10 for 16 with three doubles and a home run. He has yet to strike out over 17 plate appearances since making his return. Catcher Omar Narvaez also has been tearing the cover off the ball, hitting .389 with three home runs and 11 RBI. The problem for the Brewers is that Wong and Narvaez have received very little offensive help from their teammates. Third baseman Travis Shaw has contributed some pop with three homers and a team-high 17 RBI, but he’s hitting only 216. Others such as center fielder Jackie Bradley Jr. (.195) and first baseman Keston Hiura (.152) have been abysmal despite playing nearly every day. The Brewers are tied for 27th in the majors in team batting average at .211.

Fortunately for the Brew Crew, their pitching has held up nicely, leading to the solid start to their season. Milwaukee’s overall team ERA of 3.36 ranks sixth in the majors.

Teams Spread Money Line Total Points
Miami Marlins +1½ (-165) +130 O 8 (-120)
Milwaukee Brewers -1½ (+140) -155 U 8 (+100)

The Pitching Matchup

Left-hander Dan Castano will take the mound for the Marlins. He comes in with an 0-1 record and a 3.60 ERA in just 10 innings pitched thus far this season. The Brewers are countering with right-hander Adrian Houser, who is 1-2 with a 3.32 ERA and 12 strikeouts in 19 innings pitched.

What’s the Bet?
The Brewers are at home and have made a living this year so far by rarely having two off nights in a row. Look for them to jump on the Marlins early enough to have a lead by the fifth inning, making the best value bet the Brew Crew -1/2 to hold the advantage after the first five frames.

After that it could be anyone’s ballgame, so look to place that wager and cash the early ticket.

The Bets
Brewers -1/2 First Five Innings
+105
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Joe Menzer / Author

Joe is an award-winning writer and editor who has covered the NBA, NFL, NASCAR, golf, various collegiate athletics and other sports for newspapers, Turner Sports, Fox Sports and ESPN. He has been on the beat for seven Super Bowls, six Daytona 500s and numerous NBA playoff series and All-Star Games. He once was dispatched to Rome, Italy to spend time with an NBA draft choice who opted to play overseas, after which he produced an award-winning series of stories. He also is passionate about fantasy sports and breaking down games in ways that even novice gamblers can use to make their most intelligent wagering decisions.

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