Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick – September 21, 2020

Probable Starters:

    Trevor Rogers (1-1, 6.00 ERA) vs. Huascar Ynoa (0-0, 5.30 ERA)

The Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves are scheduled to play four games at Truist Park in Atlanta. The Marlins are coming off a beating on Sunday, as they were subjected to a 15-0 beating by the Washington Nationals in the second game of a double-header. It took the Nationals just 6 innings to put up 15 runs.

It started with 3 runs in the first inning, and then the offense just kept coming for the Nationals. That wasn’t the case in the first half of the double-header. The Marlins were 2-1 winners in a tight low-scoring contest.

There have been a lot of positives to take from this season for the Marlins. They are a team trending in the right direction and are a postseason team right now with a record of 28-25. If they didn’t trade Zac Gallen to the Arizona Diamondbacks, you could make a solid argument for them being even better right now.

The Marlins are the fifth seed going into Monday. The race for the postseason is incredibly tight in the National League. They could finish with as high as the fifth seed or miss out on the postseason completely. The Brewers are the first team out of the NL postseason, with a record of 26-26 going into this week.

With Gallen in the rotation, they could have easily left Trevor Rogers down at the training site. The Marlins are just hoping that shortstop Jazz Chisholm, the player they traded for in Arizona, develops into a major contributor. He’s still only a 22-year-old, so it might take a few years before we find out who really won that trade. As of now, though, you have to give the edge to the D-backs.

Rookie Trevor Rogers will look to respond after struggling in his previous two performances. He was really in good form to open his major league career, but his confidence has been wavering recently.

We’ll see if a trip to the hill to face the Braves will fix that. Fellow first-year pitcher, Huascar Ynoa, is expected to counter for the Braves on the bump. Head below for our free Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves pick for September 21, 2020.

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Marlins +1.5 (-130)
  • Braves -1.5 (+110)
Moneyline:

  • Marlins (+148)
  • Braves (-161)
Total:

  • Over 9 (-130)
  • Under 9 (+110)

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Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction:

Trevor Rogers heads into Monday with an ERA of 6.00 and 1.52 WHIP. Following a terrific debut against the New York Mets on August 25. Rogers pitched 4 innings with just 1 hit and no runs conceded. Since then, Rogers has been up and down in his next four outings. In a small five-game sample size, there can be a lot of volatility, and that’s what Rogers has been experiencing.

In his previous three starts, Rogers posted an ERA of 9.00 and 1.58 WHIP. Rogers has conceded 9 earned runs in his last 6 innings. This should prove to be a tough assignment against the Braves, who’ve netted 24 runs in their last three-game series against the Mets.

The Braves rank first in the majors with 5.85 runs scored per game. If Rogers doesn’t bring his top game to Atlanta on Monday, then this could be another one of those games where the Braves go wild offensively. This matchup is a battle of rookies, with Huascar Ynoa getting the nod for the Braves.

Ynoa has split time between the bullpen and starting rotation. Four appearances as a starter and four as a reliever. Ynoa has recorded a 5.30 ERA and 1.61 WHIP through 18.2 innings of work. Like Rogers, he’s been up and down, which can be typical from a rookie hurler.

He hasn’t been at this best in Atlanta, having gotten rocked for a 8.59 ERA and 1.64 WHIP through 7.1 innings. I’m anticipating one of these rookies to have a bad game, just not sure which it’s going to be. The Braves are juiced a little too high for my liking with Ynoa on the bump, but the total offers some better value. I would rather take my chances on the OVER at Triust Park on Monday night.

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The Bet
OVER 9
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.