Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Pick – MLB May 27, 2022

The Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves open a three-game series at Truist Park on Friday night. The Braves most recently had a four-game split against the Philadelphia Phillies. In the series finale, the Phillies beat the Braves behind a strong performance from Aaron Nola.

Nola went 8.1 innings, with 5 hits and 1 earned run allowed. Kyle Wright was unable to hold up well enough with Nola, as he was tagged for 6.2 innings with 3 hits and 3 earned runs allowed. The Braves were coming off a 6-5 and 8-4 win before the Phillies stopped them from going any further.

Atlanta is going into tonight with a disappointing record of 21-24. They are 7.5 games behind the New York Mets for the lead in the NL East.

After winning the World Series, this might be a hangover of sorts for the Braves. They didn’t get off to the best of starts last year either, but because of injury problems. The Braves don’t have many excuses in 2022.

There is more than enough time on the schedule for the Braves to get into form.

The Major League Baseball schedule is a gauntlet, and the results in May don’t tell the full picture. In any case, they take on an improved Marlins team on Memorial Day Weekend.

The Marlins are 18-24 and have work to do, but there is hope in Miami. An inconsistent offense is still a problem, though. They go into Friday night with losses in five of their previous six attempts.

Trevor Rogers and Ian Anderson are scheduled to have the starting nods at Truist Park in the series opener.

The offense could be more consistent for the Braves this season as well. They have the bats, but it’s been a slow start. Head below for our free Marlins vs. Braves prediction on May 27, 2022.

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Miami Marlins +1.5 (-165) +113 Over 9 (-105)
Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+140) -135 Under 9 (-115)
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Team Data Miami Marlins Atlanta Braves
Overall Record 18-24 21-24
Away/Home Record 8-12 12-13
Batting Average .240 .230
Batting Average Away/Home .226 .245
Runs Per 9 4.18 4.18
Team ERA 3.38 3.97
Team ERA Away/Home 3.38 4.34

Marlins vs. Braves Prediction:

The Marlins starting rotation is in good order, but Trevor Rogers has command problems going into Atlanta. Rogers is coming off a tough outing against the Braves at home last Friday.

Rogers was tagged for 8 hits and 5 earned runs through 4 innings of work. The bullpen settled the game down, but the damage was already done for a 5-3 Braves win.

He is entering Truist Park with an ERA of 5.20 and a 1.51 WHIP across 37 innings of work on the bump. Rogers needed to pitch better if he’s going to keep up with the rest in this Miami rotation.

The current Braves roster have scored plenty against Rogers, with 4 home runs and 15 RBIs in 89 at-bats.

The offense hasn’t been at its best this season, with room for improvement possible. The Braves are 19th in the majors, with 4.17 runs scored per 9 innings.

They are hitting .287 with a .341 OBP in their last five outings, so that’s a start. Rogers should allow the Braves to have a good showing at the plate.

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 13-46 overall in their previous 59 as an underdog on the road
  • 15-41 overall in their previous 56 first game of a series
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games versus a right-handed starter
  • 2-6 overall in their previous eight games after conceding 5 or more runs
  • 15-34 overall in their previous 49 games at Atlanta


  • Record (Last 10): 5-5
  • 4-0 overall in their previous four games as a betting favorite
  • 4-0 overall in their previous four games versus a left-handed starter
  • 6-2 overall in their previous eight games on a Friday
  • 38-15 overall in their previous 53 games after a loss
  • 5-2 overall in their previous seven games versus the NL East

  • Ian Anderson has been fine through 42 innings this season. He is entering this one with an ERA of 4.07 and a 1.36 WHIP. Anderson hasn’t been able to get into form at Truist Park, where he owns a 6.92 ERA and 1.92 WHIP.

    However, Anderson has the talent to turn things around and bounce back at home tonight.

    In his first full-time campaign in the majors in 2021, Anderson finished with a 3.58 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. And besides a couple of starts, Anderson has been reliable this season.

    He allowed 4 and 5 runs in two spots, but otherwise, 2 or fewer runs were allowed in five of six starts and less than 4 in all six attempts.

    The Marlins are hitting .223 with a .269 OBP in 93 at-bats versus Rogers. After allowing 7 hits and 4 earned runs last week in Miami, expect Anderson to be in better shape tonight.

    In the series opener at Truist Park, the Braves should protect their home field with Anderson on the hill.

    Rogers hasn’t been the most confident pitcher this season. A final score of 6-4 or 5-4 looks about right in this one.


    Marlins vs. Braves Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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