Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros Pick – MLB June 10, 2022

The Miami Marlins are off to Houston for a three-game series at Minute Maid Park.

They are coming off a sweep of the Washington Nationals in three games. The Marlins pulled away for a 7-4 win yesterday in their latest win.

Trevor Rogers had a strong game, with 6 hits and 2 earned runs allowed. When he exited the game, the Marlins had a 7-2 lead and were in control. Tommy Nance yielded 2 hits and 2 earned runs to give the Nats some life in the top of the 7th.

The Marlins advanced to 25-30 in the NL East and 11 games behind the New York Mets for the lead. The Mets are clear of the Braves by 6.5 games, but that gap is closing with the Braves playing better baseball recently.

Miami is looking ahead to what should be a brighter future for their organization. They are slowly turning a corner and hope to be in the mix in the NL East in two or three years.

The Marlins have the best rotation in the NL East.

Pitching has never been a problem for the Marlins, but the offense has held them back. That could change soon with their young guns coming up.

The Marlins don’t care much for spending money on big free agents, but we’ll see if they’ll dip their toe in when things look good. The way they’re rebuilding is better in the long run than trading for quick fixes on short contracts, though.

Houston leads the AL West with a record of 36-21 and a big lead over the LA Angels. The Angels finally ended their long streak, but are now nine games behind the ‘Stros after the dust settled. The good news is that it’s only June, and the Angels could go on a run.

The Marlins are sending Pablo Lopez to the bump at Minute Maid Park tonight. Luis Garcia is scheduled to toe the rubber for the Astros.

Head below for our free Marlins vs. Astros prediction on June 10, 2022.

Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Miami Marlins +1.5 (-165) +126 Over 8 (+105)
Houston Astros -1.5 (+140) -150 Under 8 (-125)
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Team Data Miami Marlins Houston Astros
Overall Record 25-30 36-21
Away/Home Record 10-16 15-8
Batting Average .245 .233
Batting Average Away/Home .235 .229
Runs Per 9 4.57 4.21
Team ERA 3.75 3.01
Team ERA Away/Home 3.94 2.51

Marlins vs. Astros Prediction:

Pablo Lopez is a fine piece of an impressive rotation for the Marlins. They can put a pitcher on the mound most nights and expect a good result. It’s the offense that can be inconsistent.

Lopez is going into this one with an ERA of 2.18 and a 0.97 WHIP. He gets lost in the mix with Sandy Alcantara stealing a bit of his shine, but Lopez certainly deserves some attention.

On most nights, Lopez is in great form. He’s allowed 1 or no earned runs in seven of his 11 starts this season. When he’s feeling good, it can be tough for any offense to facilitate offense against him.

This isn’t a one-time thing for Lopez. He came on in the shortened campaign in 2020, with a 3.61 ERA and 1.19 WHIP.

Lopez proved it wasn’t a fluke the following season in 20 starts.

I think we know by now that Lopez is a good pitcher. He posted an ERA of 3.07 and a 1.12 WHIP last year. He doesn’t mind going on the road, either.

Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games
  • 3-10 overall in their previous 13 games after a win
  • UNDER is 4-1 in their previous five games versus the American League
  • UNDER is 17-5 in their previous 22 games versus the American League as an underdog
  • UNDER is 8-3 in their previous 11 games versus an American League team with a winning record


  • Record (Last 10): 7-3
  • 7-1 overall in their previous eight games after conceding 5 or more runs
  • 14-4 overall in their previous 18 games at home
  • UNDER is 5-1 in their previous six games versus the National League
  • UNDER is 5-1 in their previous six games as a betting favorite
  • UNDER is 9-2 in their previous 11 games after a day break

  • Lopez has an ERA of 1.41 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP across 32 innings on the road this season. He had one bad start against the Rays, allowing 9 hits and 4 earned runs in 7 innings, but has otherwise been reliable.

    Luis Garcia stands a good chance of matching or doing better than Lopez tonight.

    Garcia enters Friday night with an ERA of 3.07 and a 1.02 WHIP. He’s in good form heading into this matchup, with a 2.50 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in his last three starts.

    The Marlins are hitting .235 with a .252 OBP versus Garcia in 49 at-bats. Garcia is backed by a terrific bullpen, the best in the majors with an ERA of 2.62 and a 1.14 WHIP.

    Lopez and Garcia will likely stay in control at Minute Maid Park this evening. It’s probably not a complete pitcher’s duel, but the damage should be limited at the dish. I’m pointing towards the UNDER in Houston tonight.


    Marlins vs. Astros Pick
    UNDER 8
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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