Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros Pick – MLB June 12, 2022

The Miami Marlins will eye an improbable sweep at Minute Maid Park on Sunday afternoon. Following a 7-4 and 5-1 win, the Marlins need another win for the three-game sweep in Texas.

Braxton Garrett went 5.2 innings of scoreless baseball to carry the Marlins into the 6th inning with a 4-1 lead. The Marlins tacked on a run in the top of the 9th for insurance to make it a 5-1 final.

With the win, the Marlins can make it a sweep on Sunday afternoon. Winning two of three games would have been a success, but why not make it a sweep and win three games?

The Marlins are 27-30 and 10.5 games behind the Mets for the lead in the NL East. Their lead isn’t as comfortable as it was last week. The Braves are red-hot and have pulled within six games going into Sunday.

Anaheim blasted the Mets on Saturday, and it wouldn’t be surprising if they slowly gave up this lead. The absence of Max Scherzer is hurting a team that was already without Jacob deGrom on the hill.

The Mets can’t allow this season to get away this time.

This is the best shot the Mets have had at an NL East title in a while, and it’d hurt if they pass this one up. The Braves aren’t going anywhere and likely had a slow start from a hangover after winning the World Series.

The Astros will send ace Justin Verlander to the mound in an attempt to block this sweep. Miami has a good answer with Edward Cabrera, who is making his third major league start.

See below for our free Marlins vs. Astros pick on June 12, 2022.

Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Miami Marlins +1.5 (-110) +185 Over 7.5 (-115)
Houston Astros -1.5 (+100) -225 Under 7.5 (-105)
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Team Data Miami Marlins Houston Astros
Overall Record 27-30 36-23
Away/Home Record 12-16 15-10
Batting Average .244 .234
Batting Average Away/Home .234 .233
Runs Per 9 4.61 4.21
Team ERA 3.76 3.08
Team ERA Away/Home 3.94 2.70

Marlins vs. Astros Prediction:

Edward Cabrera has been a flamethrower for the Marlins on the mound this season. After a troubled start in his first major league experience in 2021, Cabrera looks like the next best thing out of the Marlins pitching staff.

The Marlins have done a fine job of developing young pitchers in their organization. It hasn’t stopped since the tragic death of Jose Fernandez.

Cabrera posted an ERA of 5.81 and a 1.63 WHIP through seven starts in his first season. That isn’t ideal, though more of a year to give Cabrera some experience more than anything.

He must have attached a flamethrower to his arm since then. Cabrera can routinely through in the 97 mph range and can touch 100 mph on the radar gun.

One of the wildest thing Cabrera did this season is throw a 96 mph changeup against the Rockies in his debut.

You have to get creative at Coors Field to succeed, and Cabrera had no issue opening his career in Denver. He shut down the Rockies for 1 hit, and no runs for a dream start to his career.

He followed up nicely with another stellar performance, this time against the Washington Nationals at home. Edwards allowed 2 hits and 1 earned run through 6 innings in a 12-2 win.

Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 7-3
  • 15-36 overall in their previous 51 games versus the American League as an underdog
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games as an underdog
  • 4-0 overall in their previous four games versus a right-handed starter
  • UNDER is 6-2 in their previous eight games at Houston
  • UNDER is 15-5 in their previous 20 games as an underdog versus the American League


  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 5-0 overall in their previous five games on a Sunday
  • 14-5 overall in their previous 19 games at home
  • UNDER is 5-1 in their previous six games on a Sunday
  • UNDER is 11-4 in their previous 15 games as a betting favorite at home
  • UNDER is 8-3-1 in their previous 12 games versus the National League

  • The Astros will look to Justin Verlander to salvage this series with a win. Verlander is getting older, but he’s still pitching at a high level.

    Verlander enters Minute Maid Park with an ERA of 2.13 and a 0.84 WHIP in 2022.

    Verlander is coming off a strong performance against the Seattle Mariners with 6 hits, and 1 earned run allowed in a 4-1 win. JV has allowed 0 or 1 earned run in an outing for the fourth start in his last six attempts.

    The Marlings are hitting just .142 with only 2 RBIs against Verlander in 42 at-bats. He’s been at his best at home, with a 2.10 ERA and 0.94 WHIP.

    Houston continues to lead the major leagues with a team ERA of 2.65 and 1.12 WHIP out of the bullpen. They’re pretty tough to beat when they have a lead.

    Cabrera should make this one interesting for the Marlins. There’s a decent enough chance he leads the Marlins to a sweep this afternoon at Houston. It should be a pitcher’s game regardless, with the UNDER worth considering today.


    Marlins vs. Astros Pick
    UNDER 7.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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