Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Angels Pick – MLB April 11, 2022

The Miami Marlins and Los Angeles Angels open a short two-game series in Anaheim at Angel Stadium tonight. The Marlins remain in California following three games at Oracle Park versus the San Francisco Giants.

Miami had a 2-1 win on Saturday, but lost two of three attempts. The Marlins saw Pablo Lopez work well across 5 innings in that one, with 3 hits and 1 earned run allowed.

However, the Marlins failed to take advantage of their opponents the next day. On Sunday, they had Anthony DeSclafani on the ropes, but he escaped suffering damage.

DeSclafani allowed 8 hits through 3.2 innings of work on the bump. He gave up 2 earned runs, so that was close for the Giants.

The Marlins were on the edge of busting that game open against DeSclafani and ultimately finished with just 2 runs in a 3-2 loss. Frustrating. Those are the types of games bad teams like to lose.

Anaheim lost three of four games going into Monday. They’re coming off a 4-1 loss to the Astros yesterday afternoon at Angel Stadium.

It was a disappointing season-opening series, but now, Angels fans are used to being let down. The Angels, who look good on paper with Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, didn’t get the bats going.

In their win on Saturday, Noah Syndergaard outdueled Justin Verlander in a 2-0 win. That was the biggest positive from this weekend. Syndergaard was healthy and in good form.

Michael Lorenzen will make his Angels debut in this one after spending the first seven years of his career in Cincinnati with the Reds. Fifth-year hurler, Elieser Hernandez, is slated to start for the Marlins.

Head below for our free Marlins vs. Angels prediction on April 11, 2022.

Miami Marlinsvs. Los Angeles Angels Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Miami Marlins +1.5 (-160) +120 Over 9.5 (-105)
LA Angels -1.5 (+135) -143 Under 9.5 (-115)
Team Data Miami Marlins LA Angels
Overall Record 1-2 1-3
Away/Home Record 1-2 1-3
Batting Average .238 .231
Batting Average Away/Home .236 .229
Runs Per 9 3.04 2.50
Team ERA 2.70 5.00
Team ERA Away/Home 2.70 5.00

Marlins vs. Angels Prediction:

The Angels rotation, years after going into the season with question marks, is still in the same position.

There are more questions than answers for the Angels. This is nothing new for Angels fans, who have had to deal with a shaky starting rotation for over a decade.

Michael Lorenzen is an affordable option for the Angels that they’re hoping for the best from after missing out on elite free agents.

Lorenzen is a gamble in the sense that it’s going not clear what he’s going to do with the Angels. In seven years in Cincinnati, Lorenzen posted a 4.07 ERA and 1.37 WHIP through 295 games.

His last season with the Reds was his worst, so the Angels are hoping they can rehabilitate him back to form. Lorenzen is coming off a disappointing campaign, as he posted an ERA of 5.59 and a 1.38 WHIP in 27 games.

Lorenzen didn’t show any indications in spring training that he is ready to improve on what he did last season. He is going into the regular season with a 4.66 ERA in 9.2 innings of spring training ball.

Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Angels Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 1-2
  • 5-1 overall in thier previous six games versus the AL West
  • 10-4 overall in their previous 14 games versus a team with a losing record
  • OVER is 4-0 in their previous four games versus a team with a losing record
  • OVER is 9-2 in their previous 11 games versus a team with a winning percentage worse than 40%
  • OVER is 4-1-1 in their previous six games


  • Record (Last 10): 1-3
  • 6-14 overall in their previous 20 games
  • 1-7 overall in their previous eight games as a betting favorite
  • OVER is 10-0-1 in their previous 11 interleague games at home versus a team with a losing record
  • OVER is 13-2-2 in their previous 17 interleague games as a betting favorite
  • OVER is 19-6-3 in their previous 28 interleague games versus a team with a losing record

Elieser Hernandez doesn’t have the best history against the Angels in his career. He’s gotten hammered for a .543 batting average and 3 home runs in 25 at-bats.

Hernandez has been serviceable in his four-year career, with a 4.67 ERA and 1.29 WHIP through 70 games. In 11 outings last year, he posted a 4.18 ERA and 1.32 WHIP.

I’m not sure the Angels are the first team he wanted to see this season. He hasn’t had a good time versus this lineup in the past, and the Angels need a pitcher to tee off on after struggling in the series opener.

I’m looking at a high-scoring final score at Angel Stadium. Look for this one to get into the double digits, with a 6-5 or 7-5 final score in Anaheim tonight.


Marlins vs. Angels Pick
OVER 9.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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