Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Pick – MLB May 14, 2021

The Miami Marlins are on the west coast after packing up and leaving the desert in Arizona. Miami lost the first two games, 5-2 and 11-3, but responded in fine form to win the back half of the four-game series. The Marlins edged out the Diamondbacks, 3-2, and then emerged with a more comfortable win with a 5-1 victory yesterday. Trevor Rogers had a strong performance, as he continues to climb up the ranks of young and talented pitchers in the major leagues.

Rogers had a successful 6 innings, with 4 hits and 1 earned run allowed. He was backed by the Marlins’ bullpen, which shut out the Diamondbacks for the remaining 3 innings. The Diamondbacks’ Merrill Kelly routinely found himself in trouble on the hill. He gave up 7 hits, 2 walks, and 3 earned runs in 6.1 innings.

Miami is a 17-20 club going into Los Angeles for a three-game series at Dodger Stadium. They’re on the road six more games before going back home to welcome the New York Mets to Miami. Following this weekend stay in Los Angeles, the Marlins are off to Philadelphia for another three-game series. The Marlins got off to a relatively slow start, or at least, according to many who thought they were going to breakout after their appearance in the playoffs last season.

There is still plenty of time for that breakout prediction to hold true for the Marlins, though. We’re in a marathon and not in a sprint like last season. They are currently behind the Mets by four games for the lead in the NL East. The Atlanta Braves are tied with the Marlins a 17-20. Speaking of slow starts, the Braves have not been performing up to expectations thus far. It wouldn’t be a shocker to see them catch fire at some point, though.

The Dodgers were blazing hot to open the season over the first two weeks. They came out firing with just two losses through their first 15 games. After losing to the Colorado Rockies on Opening Day, the Dodgers proceeded to go 13-1 in their next 14 outings. However, the Dodgers sharply regressed and will take a record of 20-17 into this series. The Dodgers trail the San Francisco Giants by three games for the NL West lead.

The offense was alive and well against the Mariners in their latest series. They swept the Mariners in the short two-game series with a 6-4 and 7-1 win. Matt Beaty was the leading-performer for the Dodgers on Wednesday night, as he went 2-for-3 with 3 RBI. It’s been an inconsistent start for the offense, but when they get going, the rest of the division will be on notice. Head below for our free Marlins vs. Dodgers pick on May 14, 2021.

Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Odds:


  • Marlins +1.5 (-120)
  • Dodgers -1.5 (+100)

  • Marlins +140
  • Dodgers -152

  • Over 7 (+104)
  • Under 7 (-124)


Marlins vs. Dodgers Prediction:

It’s a matter of when and not if the Dodgers will heat up at the plate. Despite missing Cody Bellinger in the lineup, who is out indefinitely with a leg injury, the Dodgers still have a lot of talent to go around. As they are right now, the Dodgers are still sixth in the major leagues with 5.07 runs scored per 9 innings. They’re eighth with a team batting average of .243. That’s not bad all things considered.

If they could stay steady with around 5 runs per game this season, the Dodgers will win a lot of games with their rotation. Sandy Alcantara is a solid arm for the Marlins, but the Dodgers have been throttling righties recently. In their last five games, they’ve hit right-handed pitching for a .309 average and .283 in their previous ten outings. Clayton Kershaw is scheduled to get the starting nod tonight versus the Marlins.

Kershaw is off to a predictable start this season. The 33-year-old has shown no signs of slowing down in the rotation for the Dodgers. Kershaw goes into Friday evening with an ERA of 2.62 and 0.99 WHIP. He’s been lights out at home, with an unhittable ERA of 1.35 and 0.80 WHIP. The Marlins know all about the hot hand of Kershaw. They have been shuttered by Kershaw, as they’re hitting .095 with a .141 OBP in 64 at-bats.

They’ve recorded just 1 home run and 3 RBI versus Kershaw during that stretch. I think if the Marlins are going to hold strong in this game, it’s going to come on the arm of Alcantara. Alcantara has posted an ERA of 2.72 and 1.01 WHIP this year. However, he’s been slightly worse on the road with an ERA of 3.44 and 1.09 WHIP. The Dodgers have hit .381 with a .405 OBP versus Alcantara in 16 at-bats. Like I said, the Dodgers have been hitting righties at an efficient rate recently. I like a 5-2 win for the Dodgers to cover the runline in this one.


Our Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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