Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick – MLB April 26, 2021

The Miami Marlins and Milwaukee Brewers are locking up at Miller Park for the next three days in Milwaukee. The Brewers are coming off two straight wins at Wrigley Park with wins over the Chicago Cubs by a score of 4-3 and 6-0. They dropped the series opener, 15-2, but responded in impressive fashion against the Cubs.

This series was after the Brewers impressively swept the San Diego Padres in three games at Petco Park. That was a great trip to San Diego for the Brewers, who beat the Padres by at least 2 runs in each game. The Brewers put the rest of the NL Central on notice with the three-game sweep in San Diego.

The Brewers head into Monday with a record of 13-8 with a two-game lead on the St. Louis Cardinals. This is a wide-open division, but the Brewers certainly look like the team to beat at the moment. The Reds have probably been overvalued by oddsmakers to begin the season. They seem to get hype going into every season and never do much, so we’ll see where they go from here.

Cincinnati is last in the NL Central with a record of 9-12 and four games behind the Brewers. Milwaukee got a monster performance out of Brandon Woodruff and the bullpen. Woodruff gave up just 2 hits and the bullpen gave up 2 hits as well to help lead the Brewers to a 6-0 win over the Cubs on the road. The Brewers are back home on Monday to welcome the Marlins to Miller Park.

The Marlins are coming off a rough series against the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park. They lost three of four outings against the Giants, with a 4-3 loss on Sunday afternoon to wrap up the four-game series. The Marlins had a tough time figuring out Logan Webb, who held Miami to 3 hits and no hits through 7 innings. The Giants’ bullpen nearly gave the game away, but hung on by just enough. Head below for our free Marlins vs. Brewers pick on April 26, 2021.

Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Marlins +1.5 (-145)
  • Brewers -1.5 (+125)
Moneyline:

  • Marlins +163
  • Brewers -177
Total:

  • Over 6.5 (-110)
  • Under 6.5 (-110)

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Marlins vs. Brewers Prediction:

The Brewers will send Corbin Burnes to the bump for his fifth start of the season. An early Cy Young candidate, the 26-year-old has been on fire on the hill for the Brewers. His effort last season largely flew under the radar, but he made a huge impact in Milwaukee.

Burnes posted an ERA of 2.11 and 1.02 WHIP through 12 games. The Brewers weren’t doing anything last season, but he gave the franchise hope for this season and the future. Burnes is going to be out for a big payday if he can continue at this pace. Note that Burnes goes into Monday with an ERA of 0.37 and 0.33 WHIP.

He has been virtually unhittable in 24.1 innings on the bump. Burnes has allowed just 1 earned run and 8 hits in 2021 thus far. The run he allowed was in the season opener against the Minnesota Twins. Since that performance, Burnes has notched a 0.00 ERA and 0.42 WHIP in his last three outings.

He’s coming off a standout performance against a very dangerous San Diego Padres’ offense. Burnes allowed 4 hits through 6 innings. That’s his highest hit count this season, but considering who he was dealing with at the plate, it’s probably his most impressive outing so far. He had to navigate through a tricky lineup.

The Marlins are 21st in the major leagues with an average of 4.08 runs scored per 9 innings of work. They are 30th in home runs with only 0.77 long balls recorded per game. Burnes has allowed 1 home run this season, which came four games ago in the opener against the Twins. It’s hard to see the Marlins getting the deep ball working against Burnes on Monday. Their best chance for a win on Monday is likely going to come down to Trevor Rogers on the bump.

Rogers has been sharp with an ERA of 1.64 and 1.00 WHIP. He has conceded 4 earned runs through 22 innings of play. In his previous three outings, Rogers has notched a 1.00 ERA and 0.89 WHIP. He’s fresh off a 3-0 win against the Baltimore Orioles. The Brewers are 27th in the majors with a team batting average of .209, though their pitching staff is first with a batting average of .202. This is a low total, but I still believe it’s a half point too short. The UNDER looks like the right side.

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Our Bet
UNDER 6.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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