Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Pick – MLB August 9, 2020

    Pablo Lopez (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Jacob deGrom (1-0, 2.12 ERA)

The Miami Marlins and New York Mets will close out a three-game series on Sunday afternoon at Citi Field. The Marlins got the series started with a 4-3 on Friday, while the Mets responded for a 8-4 win the next day. Despite the loss yesterday, the Marlins have surprised since returning to action.

They were the first team in the major leagues to suffer through a coronavirus outbreak, having to sit out until their team received the all clear. Derek Jeter’s team didn’t let that deter them, though. They have been back out on the field playing with something to prove.

The Marlins head into Sunday with a record of 7-2. They have plenty of games to make up, but from a win percentage standpoint, Miami are up a game on the Atlanta Braves for first in the NL East. It doesn’t seem realistic that the Marlins are going to actually win the division, but in a shortened campaign, there is a chance of anything happening. I’m going to hypothesize that the Marlins don’t have enough talent to sustain a lead in the division, but we’ll see how things play out. Just getting to the playoffs would be an incredible achievement for this club.

Daniel Castro of the Marlins yielded 5 hits and 4 earned runs in 4.1 innings. That wasn’t nearly good enough on Saturday. The Mets tacked on a total of 8 runs to the scoreboard to secure a 8-4 victory. The 6-9 Mets got a big day from J. D. Davis, who connected for 4 RBI on 2-for-3 hitting.

Pete Alonso and Michael Conforto both added a couple of runs as well. They face a tough uphill battle from where they are at the moment, but if they don’t succeed, it’s not going to be because of Yoenis Cespedes getting up and leaving the team.

Their rotation isn’t as strong without the services of Zack Wheeler, and Noah Syndergaard is unavailable in 2020. Replacing Wheeler with Rick Porcello likely isn’t going to be a move that makes the Mets better. What used to be an impressive rotation with plenty of depth, the Mets don’t have that same punch.

An injury to a member of the rotation is all it could take to sink their season. Jacob deGrom is healthy, so that’s a positive for the Mets. He is scheduled to start on Sunday, while Pablo Lopez hopes to keep things rolling following a standout opening effort in 2020. Head below for our free Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets pick for August 9, 2020.

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets MLB Baseball Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Marlins +1.5 (-105)
  • Mets -1.5 (-115)
Moneyline:

  • Marlins (+212)
  • Mets (-235)
Total Points:

  • Over 7 (-120)
  • Under 7 (+100)

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Miami Marlins vs. NY Mets Prediction:

The Marlins best chance of getting into the postseason will be with their pitching staff. It’s possible that they get hot and lead the way for the Marlins. There isn’t enough pop in their offense to depend on their work at the plate, but there is some talent to like in their rotation. I’m most confident in Pablo Lopez.

He has the potential to be the best pitcher on the Marlins since the late Jose Fernandez. I got on Fernandez early in his career before he really started to make waves, and Lopez has the potential to be the next great young pitcher for the Marlins, though a bit of a later bloomer than Fernandez was.

That said, it might take another year before we see Lopez start to blossom in a full 162-game season. In his first two seasons, Lopez posted an ERA of 4.14 and 5.09. He took his lumps and moved on to this season. With a couple of years of experience under his belt, we should see improvement this season, and then everything come together as a 25-year-old.

Lopez can routinely reach the mid 90’s and mix it up with an effective changeup. If you don’t guess correctly against Lopez, he can be tough to hit. In his first start of 2020, Lopez neutralized the Baltimore Orioles for 2 hits and no runs in 5 innings. He held them to a .118 batting average and recorded a 0.40 WHIP. The Mets have done well against Lopez earlier in his career. They’re hitting .272 with a .336 OBP in 41 at-bats.

Jeff McNeil and Michael Conforto have done some damage against him, with a long ball each and batting averages of .750 and .667. Expect to find Lopez in fine form, but he will have to keep up with deGrom. The Marlins are hitting .209 with one home run against deGrom in 87 at-bats. In three starts this season, deGrom has netted a 2.12 ERA and 0.71 WHIP. Lopez has a lot of promise, but I don’t know if he’s ready to go toe-to-toe with deGrom on the road on Sunday. I think the Mets can get a 5-2 or 5-3 win on Sunday to win the rubber-match in the final game of this three-game series.

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NY METS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.