The Miami Marlins and New York Mets meet at Citi Field for the third of four games in Queens. The series finale will take place at Citi Field on Monday afternoon. The Mets can set up a sweep chance with a win this afternoon.
— New York Mets (@Mets) June 19, 2022
They are coming off a 10-4 and 3-2 win the past two days. In their most recent meeting, Taijuan Walker chewed up the Marlins with 2 hits and 1 earned run in 6.2 innings of work. Edwin Diaz gave up a run in the top of the 9th, but that was as close as the Marlins came on Saturday.
The Mets followed up with a close win after pulling away easily on Friday. The Mets are a 44-23 team with a 6.5-game lead on the Atlanta Braves.
They have been in control throughout this season, but the Braves have slowly inched closer to the Mets. Atlanta was on a 14-game winning streak, which recently came to an end in a 1-0 loss on Friday night.
Then the Braves lost yesterday afternoon again to give the Mets a breather. Things were about to get really close before these last two days. Miami isn’t an NL East title contender, but showing slow signs of improvement.
Miami is going into this afternoon with three losses in a row. They need to learn how to win more consistently. After winning four straight games, the Marlins have lost four of their previous five outings.
Sandy Alcantara is one constant for the Marlins. He’s a star for the Marlins and has been dependable in the rotation.
Alcantara is expected to get the starting call for the Marlins on Sunday afternoon. He should make it tough on the Mets to win three straight in this series—Chris Bassitt counters for the Mets against Alcantara.
Head below for our free Marlins vs. Mets prediction on June 19, 2022.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Live Betting Odds:
|Miami Marlins||+1.5 (-185)||+122||Over 7 (+100)|
|NY Mets||-1.5 (+160)||-145||Under 7 (-120)|
|50% up to $1,000|
|50% up to $1,000|
|125% up to $2,500|
|100% up to $500|
|100% up to $1,000|
|Team Data||Miami Marlins||NY Mets|
|Batting Average Away/Home||.230||.261|
|Runs Per 9||4.33||5.73|
|Team ERA Away/Home||4.43||3.87|
Marlins vs. Mets Prediction:
Sandy Alcantara has developed into one of the National League’s best hurlers. He’s on a Cy Young run at the moment, but sufferers from playing on a bad team. Jacob deGrom had the same problem. However, deGrom was so good that it was impossible to ignore him.
Alcantara is having himself a deGrom-like season. When his contract is up, another team will throw a lot of money at him. The Marlins aren’t a team that likes to spend much money, so it’s questionable if they’ll want to retain his services.
Alcantara hasn’t allowed more than 1 earned run in a start since May 6. He’s coming off one of his worst performances of the season, but don’t get too critical. When we say worst, this means 2 earned runs allowed in 7.2 innings of work.
In his previous three starts, Alcantara has notched a 0.76 ERA and 0.85 WHIP on the hill. The Mets are hitting .232 with 2 home runs in 107 at-bats versus the Marlins.
Run support from the offense can be spotty, though. They are going in a much better direction, but the Marlins can still be inconsistent offensively.
With Alcantara starting on Sunday, Chris Bassitt should have a lot of pressure on his shoulders. The Mets’ chances of success likely come down to Bassitt.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Betting Trends:
- Record (Last 10): 6-4
- 1-6 overall in their previous seven games on a Sunday
- 1-4 overall in their previous four games
- 13-40 overall in their previous 53 games as an underdog on the road
- 5-1 overall in thier previous six games after losing the first two games of a series
- UNDER is 4-0-1 in Alcantara’s previous five starts
- Record (Last 10): 6-4
- 4-0 overall in their previous four games on a Sunday
- 5-1 overall in their previous six third game of a series
- 21-8 overall in their previous 29 games at home
- 28-12 overall in their previous 40 games versus a eight-handed starter
- UNDER is 7-3-2 in their previous 12 games on a Sunday
Bassitt is going into Sunday afternoon with an ERA of 4.01 and a 1.18 WHIP in 77 innings of work. He’s capable of posting better numbers than that production, though.
He looked fantastic against the Brewers, with 3 hits and no runs allowed across 8 innings of work. It was a nice response for him after getting roughed up for 6 earned runs to the Padres.
Bassitt has been in better shape at Citi Field, with a 3.00 ERA and 1.04 WHIP as opposed to a 5.46 ERA and 1.37 WHIP on the road. The Marlins are hitting .067 in 11 at-bats versus Bassitt.
Backing the UNDER in a low-scoring game with Alcantara on the bump is never a bad option. We’re likely looking at another 3-2 final, with the UNDER a good bet at Citi Field.