Milwaukee Brewers at Colorado Rockies MLB – May 12th

The Milwaukee Brewers are in Denver, Colorado Saturday for game three of a three-game series with the Rockies. The Brewers have taken a two games to none lead in the series. Milwaukee took game one 5-2 behind a Lorenzo Cain two-run homer and took game two last night in dramatic come from behind fashion. In true Coors Field fashion, the Brewers scored in each of the first three innings yet found themselves down 9-3 heading into the fourth inning. The Brewers stormed back late to tie the game in the ninth and send it into extra innings where they won it in the tenth on a Travis Shaw RBI single.

The Brew crew will look to make it three straight at Coors field tonight with Chase Anderson (3-3 3.97 ERA) on the mound. The Rockies will start Kyle Freeland (2-4 3.95 ERA). The game total over-under is set at eleven runs. The Rockies are -125 home favorites. First pitch is scheduled for 5:10 PM PST from Coors Field in Colorado.

The Milwaukee Brewers are very quietly winning a lot of games this year. They are 6-3 so far in May and are just a half of a game back of the St. Louis Cardinals for the National League Central Division lead. They are doing it with an elite pitching staff. Both the starting rotation and the bullpen have been elite for Milwaukee this year. They are top eight in the majors in ERA, WHIP, and batting average against as a pitching staff.

A big part of that success has been tonight’s starter Chase Anderson. Through his first six starts of the year, Anderson was enjoying great success. He had an ERA of just 2.86 and was cruising. In his last two starts, Anderson has hit some bumps in the road as he pitched just ten and two-thirds of an inning and gave up nine earned runs.

I wouldn’t be overly worried about Anderson’s recent downswing though. He showed last year when he went 12-4 with a 2.74 ERA in twenty-five starts that he can be a top of the rotation type of guy. All pitchers have ups and downs, and I can’t imagine this downturn will last too long for Anderson, he is just too talented.

Kyle Freeland has had a decent start to the year for the Rockies. Especially considering that he has to pitch his home games at homer-happy Coors Field. Freeland started out a bit shaky as he lost his first three decisions, but he has rebounded nicely and has won two out of his last three. The big struggle early in the year was that he was giving up the long ball, but Freeland has not given up a home run now in his last three starts.

This is a nice tight game. Both teams are pretty good and playing well right now. But I just really like Chase Anderson in this matchup. They are playing in that mile-high air so he might not post an elite stat line tonight, but I expect that he will be the better side of the starting pitching matchup. The shocking number to me is the game total. Eleven runs is very high, and I expect that it is a little inflated by the fact that these two teams combined for over twenty runs last night.

Both of these starters are decent, and the Brewers bullpen has been great. I suppose the fact that they both pretty much emptied their entire bullpens last night will probably put a strain on things, but I expect this game to come in under. While I like the under and will likely make a play on it as well, I am going to focus on picking up some dog money on the Brewers today.

They are the better team so far this year and have handled the Rockies the last two nights. I expect that streak to run to three straight tonight. Give me the Milwaukee Brewers at +105 as road dogs tonight in a lower scoring than most think game!

The Bet: Milwaukee Brewers +105


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