Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves Pick – MLB July 31, 2021

The Milwaukee Brewers and Atlanta Braves opened a three-game series at Truist Park last night. The Brewers had a statement win as they dispatched the Braves, 9-5. Corbin Burnes was not in good form, but the offense assisted him with good run support. Burnes allowed 4 runs early, and left the game after giving up 9 hits and 5 earned runs through 4 innings. Touki Toussaint was all kinds of terrible with 6 hits and 7 earned runs allowed in 3.1 innings.

The Braves hope to erase a four-game deficit in the NL East and reach the postseason, but it’s going to be tough with this erratic pitching staff. Their most prominent trade this year was for Joc Pederson. Pederson gives the offense some depth, but what’s it matter if the pitching isn’t going to hold up. The Braves have an uphill battle ahead of them. They haven’t looked like a clubhouse interested in going to the postseason, so I can’t say it would be deserved. The fact that the Braves are only four games behind with a record of 51-53 goes to show how this division has been.

No team two games under .500 should be within reaching distance of winning a division. The Mets may just crawl across the finish line to win the NL East and go to the playoffs. If their rotation doesn’t get healthy bodies back, then it would be a quick trip for the Mets. What they’re doing is laying out a red carpet for the rest of the division, but no one is taking advantage of the situation. The Philadelphia Phillies took a 7-0 loss against a winnable opponent in the Pirates last night.

Then you have the Brewers who are playing like a team that wants the World Series. They are on a four-game winning streak and playing with a world of confidence at the moment. The Brewers opened up a seven-game lead over the Cincinnati Reds and have kept them there over the last month. No one has been making up ground against the Brewers, and it’s hard to see the Reds going on a road. The Cardinals are well out of the picture by 9.5 games. The Brewers will send one of their many aces, Brandon Woodruff, to the bump for the start. Rookie Kyle Muller goes for the Braves at home. Head below for our free Brewers vs. Braves pick on July 31, 2021.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Brewers -1.5 (+114)
  • Braves +1.5 (-134)
Moneyline:

    Brewers -143

  • Braves +131
Total:

  • Over 9 (-102)
  • Under 9 (-118)

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Brewers vs. Braves Prediction:

The Brewers have so many pitchers that they will be able to throw at a lineup in the postseason. They’re stacked from the top of their rotation to the bottom. The Dodgers get so much credit for their rotation, but the Brewers have to fight for respect. With their numbers, they shouldn’t have to fight for anything. Woodruff goes into Truist Park with a stellar ERA of 2.14 and a 0.84 WHIP in 20 starts.

He posted a career-high ERA of 3.05 in his fourth year in the majors a season ago, and is well on his way to surpassing that mark. The only season where he finished with an ERA eclipsing 4.00 was his rookie campaign in 2017. For a guy that pitches as well as he has in his career, Woodruff doesn’t get the attention like some of the other guys pitching in similar form.

He’s been one of the most consistent pitchers in the majors, and has stayed the course recently. Woodruff has recorded an ERA of 2.41 and 1.18 WHIP in his previous three trips across 20.1 innings of work. He has been handling road starts well, too. Woodruff enters this outing with a 1.96 ERA and 0.72 WHIP on the road. Teams are reaching base at a .197 clip versus Woodruff at home. He’s fooled the Braves many times in the past.

They’re hitting just .130 with 3 RBIs in 42 at-bats. Kyle Muller might be the best chance for the Braves in this one. If they are going to hit like that again versus Woodruff, then Muller will have to continue pitching well. Muller has held up well so far in his career. He’s appeared in six games with an ERA of 2.55 and 1.18 WHIP.

He had one bad spot against the Marlins at home, but it’s the only game Muller has allowed more than 2 earned runs in. Muller allowed 3 earned runs through 5.2 innings in a 3-2 loss. He’s coming off a strong performance with 2 hits and no runs allowed against the Mets on July 26. This total looks a shade too high with Woodruff and Muller getting the starts.

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Our Bet
UNDER 9
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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