Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles Pick – MLB April 13, 2022

The Milwaukee Brewers and Baltimore Orioles wrap up a three-game series on Wednesday night at Camden Yards. This is the rubber match after a split the last two days.

The Orioles opened the series with a 2-0 win.

This was behind an impressive performance from Bruce Zimmermann and the bullpen. Zimmermann lasted 4 innings with 3 hits allowed, and then the relievers gave up just 3 hits across 5 frames.

They were unable to follow up, but the Orioles had another solid attempt from their pitching staff. Spenser Watkins allowed 4 hits and 1 earned run through 3 innings of work.

The Orioles gave up just one more earned run, but three errors were too much to overcome in a 5-4 loss. A team like the Orioles can’t afford to have miscues like that if they will have success in 2022. One swing of the bat from Cedric Mullins accounted for all 4 Oriole runs.

That’s what happens to bad teams. When there’s a win staring at them, they tend to find a way to lose. In a winnable game, the Orioles fell to 1-4 going into Wednesday night.

It hasn’t been a stellar opening act for the Brewers.

They’ve lost three of five games in a small hangover after losing to the Atlanta Braves in the postseason last season.

The first month or two isn’t a time to draw any conclusions, never mind the first five games.

The Brewers will send Corbin Burnes to the bump for his second start of the season. John Means is expected to counter for the Orioles on the bump. He was in good form in his first start of 2022 and will eye more at home versus the Brewers.

Head below for our free Brewers vs. Orioles prediction on April 13, 2022.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles Live Odds and Betting:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-105) -178 Over 8 (-110)
Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (-115) +146 Under 8 (-110)
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Team Data Milwaukeee Brewers Baltimore Orioles
Overall Record 2-3 1-4
Away/Home Record 2-3 1-1
Batting Average .210 .206
Batting Average Away/Home .210 .197
Runs Per 9 2.80 2.05
Team ERA 4.71 3.64
Team ERA Away/Home 2.80 3.18

Brewers vs. Orioles Prediction:

Corbin Burnes broke out with a standout campaign in 2020. After an ERA of 8.82 the year before in 2019, Burnes went back to the lab and completely retooled his delivery.

Whatever Burnes did worked brilliantly, as he posted an ERA of 2.11 and a 1.02 WHIP. He went from rock bottom to a Cy Young in just one season, albeit during the shortened 60-game campaign. Burnes was awarded the Cy Young for his outstanding work on the bump. He followed up with another strong season with a 2.43 ERA and 0.94 WHIP to prove that it wasn’t a fluke during the short schedule.

The 27-year-old didn’t get off to the start he envisioned this season, but could be in for a bounce-back outing against the Orioles. Burnes conceded 4 hits and 3 earned runs in a tough assignment at Wrigley Field.

Expect a better showing for Burnes in this one at Camden Yards.

The Orioles still have offensive issues from last year, which will continue into this season. They are 30th with 2.05 runs scored per game entering Wednesday.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends:

Brewers

  • Record (Last 10): 2-3
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games as a betting favorite
  • 3-10 overall in their previous 13 games
  • UNDER is 13-3-2 in their previous 18 interleague games versus a team with a losing record
  • UNDER is 3-0-1 in their previous four interleague games
  • UNDER is 18-7-1 in their previous 26 games versus the AL East

Orioles

  • Record (Last 10): 1-4
  • 17-35 overall in their previous 52 games at home
  • 21-61 overall in their previous 82 games versus a right-handed pitcher
  • UNDER is 10-1-1 in their previous 12 games as an underdog
  • UNDER is 5-1 in their previous six games versus a right-handed pitcher
  • UNDER is 7-0-1 in thier previous eight interleague games

John Means was solid in his 2022 debut, as he allowed just 1 run against the Tampa Bay Rays on April 8. Means exited with a 2.25 ERA through 4 innings on the bump. The Brewers are hitting .174 against Means in 32 at-bats.

Milwaukee has gotten off to a slow start offensively.
They were able to take advantage of blunders by the Orioles on the field yesterday, but the bats haven’t been working consistently. The Brewers have scored 3.38 runs per 9 innings entering this series finale at Camden Yards.

I’m looking at a low-scoring game with Burnes and Means having solid outings tonight. The UNDER at 8 runs is probably the best bet to consider in this one.

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Brewers vs. Orioles Pick
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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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