Milwaukee Brewers vs. LA Dodgers Pick – MLB October 2, 2021

The Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers have to get into postseason mode now. For the Dodgers, they have to start ignoring the NL West race and accept that they’re probably going to be playing in the Wild Card. The Giants are only two days off from successfully keeping the Dodgers away and winning the NL West.

The Dodgers keep winning, but so do the Giants. Trading wins isn’t going to work for the Dodgers. All the Giants need to do is win today or tomorrow and they clinch the NL West over the Dodgers. For their effort, the Giants will get to skip the Wild Card and go straight to the next round.

Like I’ve said before, neither the Dodgers or Giants should have to go into the postseason as a wildcard. The Dodgers who are likely to do that have the second best record in the majors leagues. They are one of two teams with at least 100 wins this season, the other being the Giants. A 86-win Atlanta Braves team will have a free ticket past the Wild Card.

The Dodgers are coming off a 8-6 win against the Brewers last night. It was their fifth straight win and seven in their last eight games. The Dodgers won the game, but may have experienced a big loss with Clayton Kershaw. Kershaw left the game with forearm discomfort last night after 1.2 innings.

His status for the postseason is currently in-flux. No one has an answer regarding the severity of his injury. The Dodgers should be fine without Kershaw, they have depth, but that’s still a blow especially to a team that has been without Dustin May this season. Kershaw has been known for coming up short in October, so maybe Dodgers’ fans are fine with this news?

The Brewers are in the clear with a record of 95-65. They have a five-game advantage on the sizzling hot St. Louis Cardinals. Fortunately for the Brewers, the Cardinals didn’t get started until it was too late to catch them. The Brewers will send ace Corbin Burnes to the bump at Dodger Stadium tonight. Julio Urias is expected to go for the Dodgers. Head below for our free Brewers vs. Dodgers pick on October 2, 2021.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 (-180) +120 Over 7.5 (-105)
LA Dodgers -1.5 (+160) -130 Under 7.5 (-115)
Team Data Milwaukee Brewers LA Dodgers
Overall Record 95-65 104-56
Away/Home Record 50-29 56-23
Batting Average .231 .240
Batting Average Away/Home .243 .240
Runs Per 9 4.68 5.19
Team ERA 3.41 3.03
Team ERA Away/Home 3.12 3.00

Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction:

The Brewers’ Corbin Burnes is going to be leaned on in the postseason. They have a deep rotation and Burnes is going to be needed for the Brewers.

He’s been one of the better starters in the National League, and needs to shine when the lights are turned up a few notches in October.

Burnes is going into Dodger Stadium with an ERA of 2.29 and a 0.93 WHIP through 165 innings of work. He’s been better on the road, where he hasn’t lost a game in 2021.

Across 78.1 innings, Burnes hasn’t been involved in a loss on the road. He has been electric with a 1.64 ERA and 0.77 WHIP.

In his last three starts, Burnes has notched a 1.71 ERA and 0.76 WHIP. During that time, Burnes allowed 11 hits and 4 earned runs through 21 innings of work.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. LA Dodgers Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 1-7 overall in their previous eight games versus a team with a winning record
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games versus a left-handed starter
  • 2-5 overall in their previous seven games after a loss
  • UNDER is 6-1 in their previous seven games as an underdog
  • UNDER is 5-1 in their previous second game of a series
  • Corbin Burnes ERA (Last 3): 1.71


  • Record (Last 10): 8-2
  • 40-12 overall in their previous 52 games
  • UNDER is 6-0-1 in Julio Urias’ previous seven starts as a favorite at Dodger Stadium
  • UNDER is 6-0-1 in Julio Urias’ previous seven games
  • UNDER is 9-3 in their previous 12 games versus the Brewers
  • UNDER is 4-1 in their previous five games versus the Brewers at Dodger Stadium
  • Julio Urias ERA (Last 3): 3.38

Julio Urias has developed into one of the best pitchers in the Dodgers’ rotation. He’s always had the talent, just hasn’t been able to stay on the mound. This season he’s finally been healthy and completed a full season for the first time in his career.

Urias is going into Saturday night with an ERA of 3.01 and a 1.04 WHIP across 180 innings. In his most recent start, Urias was on fire in a 3-0 win against the Arizona Diamondbacks. He has an ERA of 3.38 and a 1.13 WHIP in his previous three outings.

His best work has come against the Brewers in his career. The Brewers are hitting a paltry .177 with a .212 OBP versus Urias. He’s held the Brewers to just 1 RBI in 45 at-bats. They’ve managed only 8 hits and 2 walks versus Urias. The UNDER is probably where you should look on Saturday night at Dodger Stadium.


Brewers vs. Dodgers Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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