Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Pick – MLB July 12, 2022

The Milwaukee Brewers and Minnesota Twins open a short two-game interleague series at Target Field. The Brewers are looking for a better performance after losing two of three games at American Family Field in Milwaukee.

Pittsburgh won an 8-6 game on Sunday over Eric Lauer and the Brewers. That’s a game the Brewers would like to have back. Jose Quintana was well off the mark on the mound, as he allowed 6 hits and 4 earned runs in 4.1 innings. However, the Brewers weren’t able to take advantage.

The Brewers’ bullpen allowed 5 earned runs across 4 innings, including 3 runs in the top of the 3rd to blow a 6-5 lead.

They’re holding onto a two-game lead in the NL Central. The St. Louis Cardinals won a big one at Busch Stadium over the Philadelphia Phillies last night. They rode the arm of Miles Mikolas to a 6-1 win.

The Twins have a four-game lead in a weak AL Central.

Minnesota goes into Target Field with a record of 48-40 and a four-game lead on the Cleveland Guardians. They’re the only team above .500 in the AL Central, as the Guardians are second at 42-42.

The Twins have a four-game lead in the division by default at the moment. They’re getting help from the rest of the division because the rest don’t want to win games.

The Brewers will look to bounce back with Jason Alexander starting this one on the road at Target Field. Josh Winder is assigned the start on Tuesday night against the Brewers. Head below for our free Brewers vs. Twins prediction on July 12, 2022.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 (-175) +113 Over 9 (-115)
Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+150) -135 Under 9 (-105)
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Team Data Milwaukee Brewers Minnesota Twins
Overall Record 48-39 48-40
Away/Home Record 27-20 25-18
Batting Average .235 .251
Batting Average Away/Home .236 .249
Runs Per 9 4.64 4.68
Team ERA 3.79 3.78
Team ERA Away/Home 3.92 3.49

Brewers vs. Twins Prediction:

Jason Alexander is in his first season in the major leagues. He didn’t receive any work last season, so this past month has been his only experience. Alexander has largely looked like a rookie.

He’s looked good at times, but there is room for improvement.

Alexander is going into this start with an ERA of 4.75 and a 1.72 WHIP in 36 innings. He’s up and down, which is expected from a rookie pitcher in the majors.

He was rolling through batters in the first four starts of his career. Alexander allowed 2 or fewer earned runs during that run.

However, Alexander learned it’s not always going to be that easy. He’s entering tonight with an ERA of 10.12 and a 2.00 WHIP in his previous three starts.

In his latest start, Alexander was tagged for 8 hits and 6 earned runs vs the Cubs.

He was getting away with allowing too many runners to reach base earlier on in his career, but that’s not working out well for him now. Offensive production hasn’t been a problem for the Twins, as they’re eighth with 4.67 runs per 9 innings and a team batting average of .254.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 7-2 overall in their previous nine games on the road
  • OVER is 8-0 in their previous eight games after scoring 5 or more runs
  • OVER is 5-0 in their previous five interleague games
  • OVER is 4-0 in their previous four games on the road versus a team with a winning record
  • OVER is 5-1 in their previous six games on the road


  • Record (Last 10): 5-5
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games at home
  • 5-2 overall in their previous seven games versus a team with a winning record
  • OVER is 5-0-1 in their previous six games
  • OVER is 4-0-1 in their previous five games after a day break
  • OVER is 7-3-2 in their previous 12 first game of a series

  • Josh Winder is also a first-year pitcher, so this is rookie vs. rookie on Tuesday night. Winder is scheduled to make his sixth major league performance in this one.

    He has quality numbers with an ERA of 3.12 and a 1.24 WHIP.

    However, the Twins are cautious with Winder and aren’t considering giving him a big workload this year in his career. After allowing 9 hits and 5 earned runs to the Athletics on May 17, Winder was sent down to the minors.

    Winder has an ERA of 4.30 and a 1.70 WHIP in his previous three attempts. With a .397 OBA, he can’t put that many runners on the base pads.

    The wind is expected to blow around 12 mph towards centrefield at Target Field tonight. The ball should carry on Alexander and Winder. I’m looking at the OVER as an option in this one in Minnesota.


    Brewers vs. Twins Pick
    OVER 9
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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