Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pick – MLB July 28, 2020

    Josh Lindblom (0-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Derek Holland (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

The Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates will dance again at PNC Park on Tuesday night. The Brewers stole a win over the Pirates last night, as they took advantage of a shaky Pittsburgh bullpen in the 9th inning. With a chance to seal the game away for an impressive 5-1 win, and then 1 out away from a 5-3 win, Ryan Braun ripped a double to tie the game up at 5 runs apiece. The Brewers failed to score the go-ahead run, but Eric Sogard did in the top of the 11th to leadoff the frame with an RBI double.

Milwaukee survived the bottom of the 10th inning with a sharp inning from David Phelps, and then the offense repaid the favor in the 11th. Sogard wasted no time to put the Brew Crew ahead, 6-5. With the Pirates getting a runner on 2nd to start the bottom half of the inning, it was important that the Brewers added another run. That didn’t happen, but Phelps was lights out again. With a runner on 3rd and 2 outs he got Mark Reynolds swinging to end the game.

The Brewers got away with one, especially on a night when Christian Yelich went 0-for-5 at the plate. They had an opportunity to score plenty earlier in the game but couldn’t give through with a clutch hit. The clutch hitting had to wait until the 9th and in extra innings. With the win on Monday, the Brewers advanced to 2-2 on the season. They’re in a tough division with the Cardinals and Cubs. Any three of those teams can win the NL Central.

In a 60-game season, Yelich can’t have too many of the nights that he had on Monday if the Brewers are going to win the division. That’s not going to work. Yelich has to produce for the Brewers. By the time some quality hitters get on track, it might already be too late in a season like this. How often do we see good hitters take some time to get going? It happens pretty routinely.

The Brewers are expected to send former Doosan Bears’ standout, Josh Lindblom, to the hill tonight. After three years in South Korea, Lindblom is back in the US and looking to prove something. Veteran Derek Holland is likely countering for the Pirates. Head below for our free Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates pick for July 28, 2020.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Baseball Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Brewers -1.5 (+105)
  • Pirates +1.5 (-125)
Moneyline:

  • Brewers (-152)
  • Pirates (+140)
Total Points:

  • Over 9.5 (-105)
  • Under 9.5 (-115)

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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction:

Josh Lindblom spent time with the Pittsburgh Pirates in 2017 and it didn’t go too well. In four games as a reliever, Lindblom recorded an ERA of 7.84 and 2.03 WHIP in 10.1 innings. That was it for Lindblom in the major leagues. The KBO threw him a life preserver and he latched onto it and didn’t let go.

Lindblom is coming off a couple of strong seasons with the Doosan Bears. He posted ERA’s of 2.88 and 2.64 in 2018 and 2019. That’s good for Lindblom to get his confidence back, but keep in mind that the KBO isn’t MLB baseball.

The KBO is somewhere between Triple-A and Double-A baseball. There are some players that are good enough to play in Triple-A, but usually too old for major league teams to care. They’d rather fill a minor league spot with a youngster with more potential for the future. That said, Lindblom deserved the call back to the majors. He did his part in the KBO to earn a spot with the Brewers.

Overall in Lindblom’s major league career, he owns a 4.10 ERA and 1.367 WHIP in 114 games. He pitched well in the KBO from 2015 to 2016, though then went down to the KBO, pitched well and returned to the US in 2017 which was a disaster. Lindblom recorded an ERA of 7.84 and 2.03 WHIP, then back to South Korea. This is his last chance or he’s going back to play in Asia for good probably.

Lindblom hasn’t looked great in spring and summer training. In 10 innings, he conceded 9 hits and 6 earned runs for a 5.40 ERA. The Pirates are a good testing ground for Lindblom. They aren’t the best offense, but it’s going to be much better than what he saw in South Korea with the Bears.

Derek Holland is doing his best to stay in the majors after getting bombed in 2019. He posted a 6.08 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 84.1 innings of work with the Cubs and Giants. In four out of his five previous seasons, Holland has recorded an ERA eclipsing the 4.00 mark. I’d like to back the Pirates here against Lindblom who has only found success in the KBO in his professional career. However, Holland versus the Brewers is tough to feel confident about. I think we see at least ten runs to get this one OVER the total.

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The Bet
OVER 9.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.