Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick – MLB April 11, 2021

The Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals will meet for the third and final time this series on Sunday afternoon at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals opened things on Friday with a 3-1 win behind a big performance from Adam Wainwright. Wainwright, who is aging pretty well after getting over injuries, allowed 5 hits and 1 earned run through 5 innings of play.

Corbin Burnes was terrific on the bump for the Brewers, but the Cardinals won the battle of the bullpens. Tight games come down to relievers, and the Cardinals won that round. The Brewers came back the next day for a big response. They rode the hot bat of Avisail Garcia who recorded 5 RBI. Keston Hiura was in good form as well with 3 RBI to help lead the Brewers to a 9-5 win.

The Brewers and Cardinals head into a rubber match at Busch Stadium on Sunday afternoon. The Brewers are off to a 4-4 this season. They’ve been up and down, and it’s likely going to be the case throughout the entire season. Don’t be surprised if it’s September and we’re talking about how up and down the Brewers were this season. They are likely going to look really good at times, and other weeks not going to be able to buy a win.

Milwaukee opened the season with a 6-5 win over the Twins, but then dropped their next three games against the Twins twice and the Cubs. Their offense was fast asleep before they woke up and scored 9 runs on Saturday. It’s the first game this season that they’ve recorded more than 5 runs in a game. Expect the offense to continue to be inconsistent for the Brewers. We’ll see if they can stay hot in the series finale in St. Louis.

The Brewers are scheduled to send veteran Brett Anderson to the bump in this one. Anderson has been mr. reliable in his career. While he hasn’t been in the elite category, Anderson has quietly gone about his business for a career ERA of 4.07 and 1.33 WHIP since entering the majors in 2009. He did not get off to an ideal start this season, with a rough showing versus the Cubs on Monday.

Daniel Ponce de Leon is expected to counter for the Cardinals in this matchup. Ponce de Leon has the talent to have a breakout season, and it could happen in 2021. He showed a lot of promise as a rookie in 11 appearances in 2018, then followed up with a 3.70 ERA and 4.96 ERA the next two years. Head below for our free Brewers vs. Cardinals pick on April 11, 2021.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Odds:


  • Brewers +1.5 (-180)
  • Cardinals -1.5 (+160)

  • Brewers +113
  • Cardinals -123

  • Over 8.5 (-115)
  • Under 8.5 (-105)


Brewers vs. Cardinals Prediction:

Brett Anderson was touched up for 4 hits and 4 earned runs against the Cubs in his season opener. He had problems keeping the ball in the park, as the Cubs connected for three home runs to knock Anderson out of the game following 5 innings on the bump. Anderson rounded out the outing with a 7.20 ERA in a start he’d like to forget. He’s coming off a fine season with an ERA of 4.21 and 1.28 WHIP. The 33-year-old veteran is far from flashy, but he can go through stretches with lots of success.

Having said that, Anderson has finished with an ERA below 4.00 in just one of his last five seasons. Unlike Ponce de Leon who still has plenty of upside in his career, Anderson has already peaked and is going in the opposite direction. The home runs were a problem against the Cubs, and Anderson has struggled keeping the ball inside the park against this Cardinals team. The Cardinals have hit 4 long balls with 13 RBI against Anderson in 61 at-bats. Conversely, Ponce de Leon has been just about untouchable versus the Brew Crew in his career.

The Brewers have not been hitting against Ponce de Leon in the least. They are hitting 0.57 with a .100 OBP against him in 36 at-bats. Only two hitters on the Brewers roster have recorded hits against Ponce de Leon, who got off to a quick start this season. He opened the season with a strong performance against the Miami Marlins. Ponce de Leon conceded 3 hits and 1 run through 5 innings of work. He exited the game with an ERA of 1.80 and 0.80 WHIP. The Marlins hit just .176 against Ponce de Leon in that contest. I give the edge to the Cards with Ponce de Leon over Anderson.


Our Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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