Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Pick – MLB July 4, 2022

The Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox get into a three-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field beginning tonight. This is a matchup of two mediocre clubs in the AL Central. Everyone in the AL Central either fits into bad or medicore. Even the division-leading Twins, I wouldn’t say, are exceptionally good.

The Guardians were able to pick up some steam and pull close to the Twins over the last month. The Twins are 45-37 and have a 2.5-game lead over the Cleveland Guardians. They were the only team with a record above .500 for a while.

The White Sox are a game under .500, but were in good order over the weekend. They went to Oracle Park and swept the Giants in three straight games.

Following a 1-0 win off the back of Lance Lynn, the White Sox used their bats and arms to win. Lynn allowed 3 hits and no runs in 6 innings of work. The White Sox followed up with a 5-3 and 13-4 win.

The White Sox erupted for 7 runs from the 8th to the 9th to take a 13-1 lead going into the bottom half. They fly home for a seven-game homestand against the Twins and Tigers.

The Twins, Guardians, and White Sox all have claims in the AL Central.

The White Sox have pulled within 4.5 games of the Twins with a lot of track left this season. They should have a chance and could be the hottest team in the second half after the All-Star Game.

The key is Lynn getting into form in the rotation. He started this season late because of an injury. It wasn’t good for him through three appearances, but Lynn looked like himself in his latest performance.

The Twins are scheduled to send Dylan Bundy to the hill at Guaranteed Rate Field. Johnny Cueto, who is important as well for the White Sox, is looking for another strong outing on the Fourth of July.

Head below for our free Twins vs. White Sox prediction on July 4, 2022.

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Minnesota Twins +1.5 (-175) +108 Over 9 (-110)
Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+150) -130 Under 9 (-110)
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Team Data Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox
Overall Record 45-37 38-39
Away/Home Record 20-19 16-21
Batting Average .248 .251
Batting Average Away/Home .248 .231
Runs Per 9 4.82 4.80
Team ERA 4.55 4.25
Team ERA Away/Home 3.88 4.58

Twins vs. White Sox Prediction:

Dylan Bundy hasn’t been at his best this season. He’s looking to carry himself better over the rest of the year, and that’s been the case across his last few starts.

Bundy is going into Guaranteed Rate Field with a 1.89 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 19 innings of work.

However, he has more work to do to repair his numbers. Overall this season, Bundy has an ERA of 4.71 and a 1.29 WHIP. His best effort has been at home, with Bundy having a tough go of it on the road.

Bundy has posted an ERA of 6.41 and a 1.53 WHIP in 40 innings on the road. Conversely, Bundy has been in good shape with a 2.10 ERA and 0.94 WHIP at home.

He’s on the road for this one, so there isn’t going to be any home cooking at Guaranteed Rate Field. The White Sox haven’t been bad versus Bundy, with a .265 batting average and 5 RBIs in 76 at-bats.

In his latest start on the road, Bundy yielded 6 hits and 3 runs in a 7-6 loss to the Guardians.

The White Sox were not finishing innings earlier in the season. They would put runners on and couldn’t come up with a clutch hit. That’s beginning to change as of late.

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 3-8 overall in their previous 11 games versus the AL Central
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games versus a right-handed starter
  • 2-9 overall in their previous 11 games at Chicago
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games after a loss
  • UNDER is 7-1-1 in their previous nine games on the road versus a team with a losing record

White Sox

  • Record (Last 10): 5-5
  • 4-0 overall in their previous four games versus the AL Central
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games versus a team with a winning record
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games at home after a road trip of seven or more days
  • 9-2 overall in their previous 11 games versus the Twins at home
  • UNDER is 4-0 in their previous eight games

  • Cueto is in pretty decent form this season with an ERA of 3.33 and a 1.17 WHIP through 54 innings of work. He hasn’t been in elite shape, but Cueto hasn’t done anything wrong, though.

    If Cueto can hold this consistent form, the White Sox will be content with that production.

    He is coming off a 2.95 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in his previous three starts. If he works like that on Monday night, the White Sox should have the best chance in this one.

    The Twins are hitting .220 with 3.45 runs per 9 innings in their previous five outings. Conversely, the White Sox hit .288 with 6.20 runs per 9 frames.

    This should be a competitive matchup on Monday night. Look at the White Sox to edge out the Twins in the opener at Guaranteed Rate Field. Cueto should be the difference at home.


    Twins vs. White Sox Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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